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In Armenia, a new wave of internal political crisis began.
Armenia is a parliamentary republic, headed by pro-Western Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, which is a contradiction in itself, given that Armenia is a military ally of Russia. Pashinyan came to power as a result of a Western-backed color revolution in 2018, and since then, he has constantly tried to spoil relations with Russia, closing in on the United States of America and the European Union, even though Russia is the the only country capable and willing to guarantee the security of Armenia.
This suicidal situation, together with a high and unjustified self-confidence, ended with a military disaster in the war with Azerbaijan in Karabakh, saved only thanks to Russian pressure on Azerbaijan, at a time when the Armenians lost all Azerbaijani lands. previously captured around Karabakh. P.
Despite the protests immediately after the defeat in the war, the Pashinyan government managed to survive the first wave of the crisis, but the tension within society continued to simmer.
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During an interview with Pashinyan on February 24, he blamed the former President of the Republic, Serge Sargsyan, who bought the Russian Iskander missiles, of which only 10% or less exploded, according to Pashinyan.
However, that statement provoked public mockery and laughter from Armenia’s Deputy Chief of the General Staff, Tiran Khatchatrian, as well as the representative of the Russian army, who announced that he had not used a single “Iskander” missile in the last war. It should be noted here that any use of “Iskandir” would have caused a direct war between Armenia and Azerbaijan, and not with the Karabakh region. Pashinyan then fired the deputy chief of staff, and then, on the morning of February 25, the General Staff called Nikole Pashinyan to resign. The army was backed by former President Robert Kocharyan and the police, while opposition parties pushed their supporters into the streets and pitched tents in front of Parliament.
At the same time, the intelligence services supported Nikole Pashinyan, who later tried to remove the Chief of Staff, Onik Gasparyan. However, the decree on this must be signed by the current president, Armen Sarkisian, who so far is adopting a wait-and-see attitude.
Turkey described these events as an attempted coup. Pashinyan called Russian President Vladimir Putin, but the latter refrained from publicly supporting the current Armenian government. At the same time, Putin refrained from supporting any of the parties to the internal Armenian conflict and urged the parties to act with restraint and resolve the crisis by legal means. Naturally, Washington opposed the Armenian army.
In general, the crisis in Armenia is part of the outgoing crisis of the old world order, as relations between the great powers intensify and the opportunities for small countries to maneuver one another, seeking to sit on two horses at the same time, diminish. . . Now is the time to take more specific positions, which will affect the country’s ability to survive.
Armenian-type crises are the result of the contradiction between the economic and other vital interests of the country and the submission of the ruling elite to Washington and its demands, which are increasingly difficult to implement day after day.
In Armenia, this is the contradiction between the impossibility of an Armenian state without the support of Russia and the desire of a part of the Armenian elite to rush into the American countryside, under pressure and coordination from Washington.
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President Putin can wait until the Armenians make their decision, and I think the bitter lesson of defeat in war will dispel many of the illusions of many Armenians regarding the West.
Arab countries will face similar crises very soon.
For example, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the other Gulf countries are politically closely linked to the United States of America, while China is the largest trading partner of these countries. On those who depend not only their economic prosperity, but their stability, and even the existence of these countries in the first place, and on them they will depend more and more every year.
And soon, most Arab countries will have to make a difficult choice between maintaining loyalty to Washington and facing the toughest economic crises and then domestic politics, because at some point in the confrontation between the United States and China, Washington will demand to cut ties with China.
It is time for the Arab capitals to start thinking about the choice they should make.
Political analyst / Alexander Nazarov
The article expresses only the opinion of the newspaper or writer.
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