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The Republican candidate is ahead of his rival among white Catholic voters, as 52% of them tend to choose him, compared to 59% in the previous census. This applies to non-evangelical Protestants, as their support rate decreased from 59% to 53%. But Trump still leads amidst the religious group that supports him the most, namely white evangelicals, of whom 78% tend to elect him, compared to 83% in recent months.
In contrast, Biden leads the poll among Black Protestants (90%), Jews (70%) and Latino Catholics (67%), without backing down in last summer’s polls. It has the support of 83% atheist and agnostic voters, and the support of 62% of voters who are not affiliated with any religious ideology.
White Christians are the most influential group in the vote, constituting 44% of all registered voters, compared to 7% of Black Protestants and 5% of Latino Catholics. While Biden is slightly ahead of his rival among the broader Catholic electorate, and primarily among non-religious voters, Trump remains at the top of the Protestant and Evangelical polls. Support for the incumbent president has declined among Muslim voters, who make up a small percentage of the American electorate (the number registered to vote this year is around a million).
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