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It is clear that Tel Aviv’s appetite for negotiations is excessive, at least in terms of intentions and efforts, whether they are related to the negotiations themselves, their processes and their results, related to the economic benefit through an agreement. that ensures it to acquire part of Lebanon’s rights to its oil and gas, or as related to theoretical capacities that can be built to achieve a wide range. A wide spectrum of interests, which is not limited to border negotiation. “Israel” appears to be dealing with negotiations as a means of combat that it uses in its war against the resistance to damage it.
One of the significant Hebrew expressions issued yesterday was reported in the daily «Yediot Aharonot; In the context of an interview with the head of the Military Intelligence Research Department, Dror Shalom, who confirmed that the chances of reaching a “peace agreement” with Lebanon are higher than after the agreement on negotiations between the two parties on economic waters, “but Hezbollah can thwart this possibility if it made wrong decisions that would blow it up.”
This “warning” issued by an intelligence figure who is considered the “national evaluator” in “Israel”, expresses the will to gain interest in two directions: the first is the aspiration to the negotiations themselves as a prelude to an advanced level. of Lebanese normalization with “Israel”, and even the aspiration to Treaty and peace agreement between the two parties. The second is to exploit the negotiations and take advantage of the origin of their existence and what Tel Aviv says is the Lebanese economic need for them, with the aim of reducing the current Israeli “headache” at the borders, and Tel Aviv anticipating the response. Hezbollah promised to attack the Ali Mohsen resistance in Syria weeks ago, keeping it busy with intelligence. And procedurally in a defensive “positioning” – regression, you are not used to it.
In the first aspect, in the last two days, a series of Israeli comments have emerged that confirmed the intention to take advantage of the negotiations, whether the result is a failure or a success, in the ongoing Israeli battle with all methods against Hezbollah, including what it calls “the battle for conscience,” and what is meant here is the broad Lebanese public.
Repeating the phrase “direct negotiations” and raising the level of the Israeli negotiating delegation, including the participation of the head of the strategic division in the planning division of the Israeli army, in addition to the head of strategic political planning in the National Security Council (adviser of the enemy’s head of government for foreign policy issues), as well as an economic figure who manages the technical issue in the negotiations, and even talk about the possibility of the participation of the Minister of Energy, Yuval Steinitz, in future rounds of negotiations, All of this is a clear indication of the willingness to support the negotiation, and perhaps the willingness to lead it, beyond the technical dispute on the maritime borders, which is by its nature an extension to determine the line. The Israeli withdrawal in 2000 under the auspices of the United Nations, known as the Blue Line.
Yesterday the report of the newspaper “Zaman Israel” appeared in the comments, which emphasized that “reaching a solution to the dispute through negotiations that will begin next week will provide the opportunity for the Lebanese side to begin exploration in an area that it probably contains large amounts of natural gas. ” This is the point and the objective in the Israeli context: “The gas fields in Lebanon have a restrictive dimension. Finding gas will produce a Lebanese economic dependence on this resource, making it a strategic asset that Israel can attack. Thus, a (neutral) deterrent equilibrium will emerge, and then Israeli exploration platforms and liquidity facilities will not only be a strategic target, but also facilities in Lebanon.
Tel Aviv: Hezbollah is the reason … if negotiations with Lebanon fail
Although the report shows that “Israel” will gain a security benefit by seizing the upcoming Lebanese gas facilities across the width of the Mediterranean as a deterrent for Hezbollah, it acknowledges in parallel that Hezbollah’s deterrence against “Israel” is present and verified and it forces it to balance it, which means that Tel Aviv is looking. It also aims to improve the reciprocity of deterrence, which is not in complete contradiction to Hezbollah’s defensive position.
In the same report, it appears that “Israel” begins its negotiations with Lebanon, armed with its new typists in the Gulf: the negotiations between “Israel” and Lebanon, which are supposed to begin soon under US auspices, are of great importance. regional that goes beyond “direct negotiations” between the two parties. The enemy enters the negotiations not as an “isolated country”, but as an ally of Egypt, the Emirates, Bahrain and Saudi Arabia. Aiming to incite Hezbollah soon, the report also states that “the Lebanese have a good understanding of the map of new interests in the Middle East and will have a long way to go. It is doubtful that it will pass smoothly without Hezbollah’s preemptive interference.”
However, the “Jerusalem Post” newspaper called yesterday to refrain from exporting excessive optimism to Israeli public opinion, stressing that “the talks are a step in the right direction and have significant repercussions, but are far from normalizing relations.”
In the end, as evidenced by the avowed Hebrew approach to the issue of demarcation negotiations, Israel is waging a war in more than one direction for multiple benefits. The common denominator between the battles of this war is Hezbollah, which basically pushed Israel to refrain from using military force to enforce its will and control what it claims to have a right to water. Likewise, he is the one who pushed it to accept the negotiating logic that could lead to settlements, while hoping that a solution, if it is reached and Lebanon has invasive facilities, will reduce Hezbollah’s deterrence by threatening its invading facilities. As for the failure of the negotiations, if it happens, they will blame their own part, since part of the Lebanese interior is waiting next to Tel Aviv, to correct the resistance, since it caused the failure of the negotiations, as intended , because it “allowed” the negotiations themselves to begin.
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