No Israeli response to Gaza rockets: the threat, then the threat



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Whatever the reason for the rocket fire from the Gaza Strip into the Palestinian territories in the early hours of yesterday, it is clear that the spread of the hypothesis that the “lightning bolt” caused this, as cited by estimates from the services of security, aims to justify the reluctance of the enemy leadership to make the decision to scale on a large scale against the Strip. Specific to their enemies, as those agencies try to suggest that it is illogical to be subject to a technical flaw or weather, and go on a massive escalation in which Israeli depth is bombarded in a process of mutual response and response, without leading to a radical change in the equation.

Therefore, by refraining from a broad response that implies high prices, Israel is trying to reinforce its dissuasive image and sending more than one message in more than one direction. While recognizing the limited options and costs, and recognizing the resilience of the resistance and the pain of its security, soldiers and settlers, it seeks, and this is more important, not to be distracted by any other front that contradicts its priorities focused on facing the threat. from the northern front, as well as mitigating the image in which their responses seemed unrestricted. It is proportional to what you present in your own name, specifically in relation to your deterrent speech, which promises to charge painful prices.
On the impact of the resistance missiles, the head of the enemy government, Benjamin Netanyahu, addressed the incident during the cabinet session. He spoke about the occupation army’s attacks on Hamas targets in Gaza, addressing the resistance factions saying: “Do not put us to the test even in light of the Corona crisis,” referring to that the repercussions of the The spread of the epidemic will not play a role in the initiative and the tough response, and an attempt to dissipate the bet on this factor from the point of view that it can constitute a catalyst for the resistance factions. However, it can be estimated that negation in this context plays the role of evidence, at least as part of the system of influencing considerations that will certainly be present at the decision table, regardless of the direction that developments take. To enhance the image of deterrence, Netanyahu resorted to exaggeration by saying, “I never reveal our operational plans, but I tell you: the price of continued attacks will be very high,” indicating that Israel is concerned about the continuation. of these types of attacks. In the same direction comes what Alternate Prime Minister and Security Minister Benny Gantz said, that Israel is working “in many directions, military and otherwise, to achieve a long-term calm,” which indicates Tel Aviv’s determination. of avoiding an escalation in response to the missiles and their efforts. Reach a long-term arrangement with the sector. However, this was followed by a threatening message: “If Hamas fails the test of calm, the results will be severe for its leadership first and for the residents of the Gaza Strip.”

By refraining from a comprehensive, costly response, Israel is trying to reinforce its image of deterrence.

These positions come on the heels of the publication of Israeli reports that the assessment in the security establishment is that the rocket fire from the Gaza Strip last night was the result of lightning on a prepared and guided launch pad. According to that estimate, the “Hamas” movement did not change its strategy based on preventing the deterioration towards a humanitarian crisis in the Strip, in exchange for keeping calm on the borders with Israel. However, the “fear” is that other factions will target the Israeli rear with missiles. However, Tel Aviv is trying, targeting “Hamas”, to establish an equation according to which there are prices to be charged for the movement in exchange for any rocket fire, even if it has nothing to do with it. Based on the above, Intelligence Minister Eli Cohen said: “On our side, the person responsible for the shooting is Hamas.” With the aim of trying to produce deterrence by focusing on the person responsible for launching the missiles, Cohen went on to say that “whoever gives the orders to fire will pay for his life.”
It should be noted that Israel has previously raised the military and civilian alert status, in preparation for the possibility of a security escalation on the first anniversary of the assassination of the military leader of the “Islamic Jihad”, Bahaa Abu Al-Atta, which occurred last Thursday. In this context, the enemy army installed “Iron Dome” batteries in front of the Gaza Strip, following estimates of the possibility that “jihad” activists launched rockets.

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