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The fragments of the differences between the Israeli parties, which led to the dissolution of the 23rd “Knesset”, will leave their repercussions in the 24 “Knesset” elections, in a profound way, not only because they are the fourth elections in less than two years, but due to the new reality at a high rate. The number of those who fight against the Prime Minister of the Israeli occupation government, Benjamin Netanyahu.
Netanyahu will not be able to use the same slogans faced by the “center-left” and the “Joint Arab List”, because those who will compete with them are the hawks of the extreme right, and in their vanguard, the former rival for the leadership of the “Likud. “Gideon Sa’ar, who formed the” party “. New Hope – Unity for Israel, and Naftali Bennett, leader of the “Our Right” party.
For the first time, a right-wing bloc could compete for the formation of a government through the weight of public opinion polls, obtaining more than 61 votes, which is the obstacle that Netanyahu faced in the three previous elections, because he failed to secure more than half of the votes of the “Knesset”. He was able to form a government without his coalition with the head of the “Blue and White” bloc, Benny Gantz, which did not last more than 7 months, so the government coalition, which Gantz paid for, defected, breaking with him “Yesh Atid” headed by Yair Lapid and “Telem” led by Buggy Ya’alon, and formed a joint party, and the “Derech Iritz” party also split.
Netanyahu’s battle will be on more than one front, based on his attempt to protect himself from prosecution on the three file charges he faces, which were one of the main reasons for the disintegration of the coalition with Gantz after Blue and White they refused to abandon the judicial portfolio, which is in the hands of Avi Nesalcorn, and therefore they failed. By trying to pass laws, he avoided imprisonment and ended his political life.
Netanyahu has been unable to avoid dissolving the Knesset despite his attempts to pass the bill to postpone the approval of the budget for the years 2020-2021 for a period of two weeks, which was presented by Blue and White, but the “coup devastating “went through the Likud and Blue and White with a coup. Several of his deputies to the coalition, and the vote against the project to postpone the approval of the two budgets, which reversed the equation in favor of 47 and opposition of 46, to 49 supporters against 47 of the opposition, which led to the dissolution of the “Knesset”, which was announced by its president Yariv Levin.
On the other hand, the fragments of the “Knesset” solution will have negative consequences for Gantz’s ally, who holds the post of Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Security, as well as Foreign Minister Gabi Ashkenazi, as well as Minister of Justice. Nisalkorn.
Thus, the possibilities for them to withdraw from political life have become possible, after the coalition succeeded by running for the first time on April 9, 2019 and forming a second force in the “Knesset” after the “Likud” . This means that the Blue and White party may disappear and its supporters will split. At other parties.
Meanwhile, Sa’ar stands out with his new party, which gave him polls (18 seats), and is considered a good representation in his first participation after he was joined by members of the Likud, Blue and White Knesset. and Derech Eretz.
Likewise, the Yesh Atid-Telem party, led by Yair Lapid, was awarded by the polls (15 seats), and “Our Right” led by Naftali Bennett (14 seats), while the Yisrael Beiteinu party led by Avigdor Lieberman (7 seats), AND “Meretz” (6 seats) and if “Blue and White” continues with his current leadership, he is expected to win (5 seats), if he disappears!
Given this, the far-right coalition can win more than 61 seats, which enables it to form a government without “Likud”, and Netanyahu will not be able to bid for this coalition, which has to resolve the competition to head a government among Sa ‘ ar and Bennett.
While the most Netanyahu can get is (44 seats), from the “Likud” coalition (28 seats), the “Haredi” parties: “Shash” (8 seats) and United Torah Judaism (8 seats), and this reduces their chances of forming a government.
As for the “Joint Arab List” headed by Ayman Odeh, which is expected to obtain (11 seats) with a decrease (4 seats) from the current representation, raising the level of participation in the elections will increase its representation, and may be the “Egg of the Qabban” for any of Competitors to head the government, especially if negotiations between the new right-wing coalition and “Yisrael Beiteinu” or “Meretz” failed. However, the “Joint List” has to unify its position following the emergence of disagreements with the “List of the Southern Islamic Movement” – “The United Arab” It is headed by Mansour Abbas, who has been in great harmony with Netanyahu.
The fallout from the dissolution of the Knesset also resulted in the announcement by Labor Party Chairman Amir Peretz that he would resign from the party leadership. In the 23rd Knesset, he could not win without his alliance with Gesher, and they won (7 seats).
Peretz had announced that he would run for the presidency of the Israeli entity in the elections to be held in June 2021, currently held by Reuven Rivlin.
All the polls indicate that the biggest loser in the next elections will be Netanyahu, who benefited from all the bids and gifts that the president of the United States, Donald Trump, as well as the Arab normalization, but still faces a protest demanding his exit for more than 26 weeks, and could not benefit from Being the first to receive the Corona virus vaccine, and imposing its conditions to determine the date of the elections, as expected in the middle of next year, it was determined on Tuesday, March 23 of 2021.
It seems that the winds of American change that overthrew Trump have reached Netanyahu, and the Israeli entity seeks an alternative to him to keep up with the scenario of the president-elect of the United States, Joe Biden, although the objective is to compete more favorably with the Israeli entity.
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