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The Kuwaiti “Al-Rai” wrote: The scene of the crisis of the formation of the new government, which is the latest symptom of the “global storm” that is hitting Lebanon, seems closer to a “puzzle” difficult to disassemble and glimpse the way to its solution, but a look “from above” at the mountain of overlapping complications makes the picture more clearly based on the “borders” drawn for the regional-international game of push and relaxation, which remains the main locomotive of the general situation of the “Land of the Cedars”, which has become the “mouth” of the region of storms and strong winds on more than one front..
On the eve of one of the most puzzling parliamentary consultations (to appoint a prime minister) in the “Republic of Taif”, the fate of which may not be clear, nor whether the name of the head of the government of “Mission Impossible” will only be generated in the last five minutes, well-informed circles emerged through “opinion” Two broad lines controlling the government record that erupted with the assault on the Beirut port explosion overthrowing the government of President Hassan Diab, which was originally the fault of the confrontation American-Iranian and behind the “bars” of the Arab-international abandonment to provide him with any support that will halt the terrible economic-financial decline in light of his fall under the influence. The exclusive and complete ruling coalition (the team of President Michel Aoun and Hezbollah – Amal Movement). And these two lines are:
The “constant” indications from the United States that it is dealing with the Lebanese reality in its entirety and that it is approaching the formation of the government by describing it as continuing its old – new endeavor, through a policy of “maximum pressure” , to the “grand prize” of which “Hezbollah” is its first title, based on the dismantling of all The structure that Washington considers to provide the elements of repression to the country and to “cross” into the battlefields as an advanced arm of the Iranian expansion project and the accumulation of a missile arsenal that breaks the balance with Israel, through a confrontational relationship or more with the system of corruption and diversion of border crossings of all kinds, an entry that completes the arc. Iranian influence extends from Iraq and Syria to Lebanon and fuels the party’s parallel economy..
France’s attempt to cross the “Elephant Corridor” aboard a partial ceiling-capped initiative for a “consolation prize” entitled a transitional government preparing for parliamentary elections a year from now and putting the train on of reforms on the roads to allow the start of the provision of aid, which will not lead to the “great resurgence” but will provide “Oxygen” for Lebanon “prevents its complete collapse and” disappearance “and buys some time until they develop the US elections, in light of which the winds are determined in light of the bitter conflict between Washington and Tehran. It is impossible to imagine that Hezbollah’s treatment of the situation is beyond its destiny, as nothing has changed to its light. Internal balances in Lebanon that allow thinking in local contexts for this problem.
And between these two extremes, regardless of whether tomorrow’s allocation consultations will lead to the naming of a prime minister or not as a “gift” to French President Emmanuel Macron, ahead of his arrival in Beirut on Monday night for a visit that It coincides with the culmination of the centenary of Greater Lebanon and seeks through it “field supervision” to follow up on the initiative. The one he launched during his station in the Lebanese capital two days after the port explosion, the same circles see any cession to a figure that Paris insists on having coverage of Prime Minister Saad Hariri and is preparing for a “mission government” France has also drawn its “profile” on the condition that “the parties remain on the sidelines.” “It will not necessarily mean paving the way for authorship, which is obstructed by more than one complex, the most prominent of which is:
“Small internal wars on more than one front, which make it very difficult to reach an agreement to support an independent government, if everyone originally recognized the essence of such an “identity” for the transitional government whose thorny path began by setting the date for the consultations based on the “personal intervention” of Macron, who revealed that he contacted President Aoun about it and warned: “If we leave Lebanon in the region and somehow leave it in the hands of corrupt regional powers, it will explode. a civil war. This will undermine Lebanese identity“.
“Hezbollah” will not lead a neutral government “in letter and spirit” while insisting on a margin of flexibility that stems from its insistence, President Nabih Berri and Aoun’s team on a prime minister – the Shiite duo would have preferred to be the same Hariri – the latter called him, which led to a government with the maximum he called a party. The rest are non-provocative or partisan personalities in the extreme sense, otherwise the best option would be to extend the interim period beyond the US elections without paying any free price. Keep in mind that any government with a standard far from the “independent and neutral” heart and soul will encounter a three-dimensional blockade line, from the Lebanese street, whose revolution has not yet abated, and from the Arab countries, as well as Washington ..
Al-Rai learned in this context that Aoun, Hezbollah, Berri and their allies may, in any case, not name Hariri to anyone else, nor name him in tomorrow’s consultations, and that the party even lifted the veto on the former minister Raya al-Hassan in a case chosen by the leader of the “future”, and always Without changing that in the thorny post-commissioning course.
Whereas demonstrations of international confrontation regarding the Lebanese crisis have been prolonged with reports cited by Moscow that it tends to personally accept Hariri as prime minister and does not see “Hezbollah” make the concessions demanded by the parties, led by Americans, “so the party has the right to participate in the government, and Moscow supports it in opposing the names of a candidate for prime minister.” It was not in passing that three hard-line US signals crossed on the eve of Macron’s arrival in Beirut, who begins his visit from where the August 6 season ended with the phrase “I love you, Lebanon,” as he will go. directly from the airport to meet Mrs. Fairuz. In a gesture enriched with letters, especially when “Firouza”, the land of cedars, constituted an integral title that crosses the lines of separation between the Lebanese. And these references are:
* The timing of US Under Secretary of State for Near East Affairs David Schenker’s visit to Beirut on September 2, that is, the day after Macron’s visit, amid anticipation of whether it will be preceded by the issuance of sanctions against the Lebanese under the “Magnitsky” or “Caesar” law, noting that the US embassy announced its next stop. As part of the tour that includes Kuwait and Qatar, it will include a meeting with representatives of civil society and discuss US efforts to help in the aftermath of the Beirut port explosion, and urge Lebanese leaders to implement reforms that respond to the Lebanese desire for transparency, accountability and a government free from corruption.“.
* In an interview with Al-Modon, US Ambassador Dorothy Shea stated that the French proposal (on Lebanon and the government) belongs only to the French, highlighting “the urgent need to form a new government that has the capacity to implement the reforms long awaited ”. She has clear leaks on sanctions. Against Lebanese Officials “The US administration’s” maximum pressure “campaign is designed not only to stop the flow of money to” malicious forces, “including Iran, but also to change the behavior of malicious actors and their allies. At the same time, I would like to emphasize that our sanctions do not weaken either Lebanon or the Economy.“.
The treatment given by the United States Department of State to the renewal of the UNIFIL Security Council that operates in the south, with the reduction of its number from 15,000 soldiers to 13,000, and the expansion of its missions as “a step towards improving mission effectiveness. A long period of neglect by the Security Council in the UNIFIL mission has ended, “explaining that” UNIFIL will be able to reach the sites necessary to contain Hezbollah and reduce its arsenal of weapons. massive, and we hope the reforms will shed light on the two obstacles to UNIFIL’s mission. ““.
The extension decision asked the “government of Lebanon to facilitate rapid and full access by UNIFIL to the sites the force wants to investigate, including all locations north of the Blue Line connected to the discovery of tunnels that allow incursions into Israel.” , and asked the Secretary General of the United Nations, Antonio Guterres, to “establish a detailed plan, with specific dates and mechanisms,” in coordination with Lebanon and the troop-contributing countries.
