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Former Prime Minister Saad Hariri moved the stalemate at the government rights level, which is stuck in the knot of the Finance Ministry, with his decision to “take poison, knowing that it is a decision that some may qualify as political suicide.” He announced that he had decided to “help Prime Minister-designate Mustafa Adeeb find a way out by appointing an independent finance minister from the Shiite community of his choice, provided it is clear that this decision is unique and does not constitute a rule on the which form future governments, “he said.
Political sources that follow the course of the formation of the government consider, on the website of the Lebanese Forces, that “there are many doubts that arise about this great concession made by Hariri, despite his justification that (trying to save the initiative French as the last chance to prevent Lebanon from falling into the unknown) ”.
She believes that “the initiative came as a lifeline at a time of extreme insecurity suffered by the Shiite duo in confronting all different segments of Lebanese society, in addition to Arab and international societies.” It is noteworthy that Hariri’s concession has yet to be fulfilled by the duo with what they expected in terms of an open and frank response, considering that previous heads of government were quick to confirm that their initiative (is personal, and we do not consider ourselves bound by it).
For his part, the leader of the Movement of the Future, former MP Mustafa Alloush, confirmed to the website “Forces”, “Hariri, like many Lebanese, believes that the French initiative is the only window that looks to Lebanon, even temporarily. “. He also considered that taking advantage of this initiative and following it is the only way to save what remains of the country.
Alloush believes that “cornering the Shiite duo will not help anything, because even if Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah has reached the point of suffocation, he will continue to wait for Iran regardless of what happens in Lebanon,” and emphasized that “For this very reason, we are anxious for Lebanon’s survival is always looking for ways out.
It reveals: “This proposal did not arise in isolation from the French initiative and in coordination with French President Emmanuel Macron, and in consultation with previous heads of government, despite the fact that it was considered that they are not interested in the initiative.” But everyone knows that the initiative is an additional attempt to give everything that can facilitate the form of forming a government, with the prior knowledge of Hariri, through internal affairs and dialogue with the Speaker of Parliament Nabih Berri, who even if Berri wants to facilitate matters, Hezbollah will not facilitate it.
Regarding the direction of affairs and the possibility of Hezbollah showing some flexibility, Alloush noted: “If we consider that Hezbollah’s decision is Iranian and the latter is the one that requested the obstruction of training, there has been no development. to change Tehran’s position. “
Alloush warns that “in the event that the French initiative reaches a point of total collapse and failure, it is in the Lebanese interest that the owner of the French initiative names the obstructors.” He says: “I do not believe that the possibility of returning the country to its unity, whether in the medium or long term, is possible in light of this reality, unless something big happens like the collapse of the Iranian camp or its acceptance for go to settlements. “
He notes that “the tightening of the Shiite duo is twofold: the Lebanese, represented by Berri’s attempt to take advantage of the Shiite push through Iran for authoritarian and other gains for the Shiites of Lebanon.” As for Hezbollah, it will benefit from the Shiite push in Lebanon to make more gains for Iran.
As for the sources of the “Shiite duo”, they are reluctant, in an interview with the website “Forces”, about the permissible conversations, to the point of resembling “generalization” not to address the issue before it is complete the situation assessment. And it is enough to say: “God is good and things will go well, and today I am not speaking.”
For their part, sources from former heads of government confirm to the “forces” website that “their position was certainly not directed against Hariri, who discussed his personal initiative with them, but the opinions were divergent between the two parties.” It points out that the position of the former heads of government “is consistent with their position of principle, which they emphasized in their statement, that (the constitution is very clear in the sense that there is no ministerial portfolio that could be a monopoly or an exclusive right of ministers belonging to a particular sect or sect). .
For their part, sources familiar with the ongoing negotiations see that “we are facing two scenarios regarding the Hariri initiative, based on what the position of the Shiite duo will be.” In the event that this duo does not respond to the initiative, it will have opened doors that will not be closed, and the French side, which continues until the last moment, continues to defend Iran and Hezbollah and maintain communication channels and not cut the relationship. with them, in addition to Berri. Therefore, the duo will suffer a great problem. “
He adds: “As for the Shiite duo accepting the initiative, then it cannot be said that Hariri made a mistake. Rather, he would have succeeded in giving the opportunity to await the last French bailout.” Hariri certainly did not launch his initiative without coordinating with Macron. If the latter’s initiative fails, the French reaction will likely be harsh and the Shiite duo is not unlikely to pay a heavy price.
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