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As soon as the media reported the news of Trump’s defeat in the presidential elections and his lack of renewal of his term for another four years, even before the counting processes ended and the official result was definitively announced, the president of the highest age with only 70 days left in the White House At the end of 2012021, the day constitutionally determined for the end of the president’s term, Trump removed Defense Secretary Mark Esper, pressured the Pentagon agent to resign, and leaked news of the preparations for the removal of both the director of the CIA and the director of the FBI, which acts as the national intelligence agency. And I attached the changes to the media leaks, starting with sending missiles and smart bombs to the UAE and then organizing a tour for Secretary Pompeo that includes France, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Israel. . “It was paved with a press conference, the most important thing in what he announced was to affirm Trump’s position that the hope of victory is certainly inevitable, and that Trump’s second term entry will go smoothly because Trump will not leave. to exercise governance.
An analysis of all the above leads us to conclude a basic thing that Trump is reorganizing his administration to do something military, security, or other special nature, and that he wants to assign the task to those who obey his law and follow his orders without question. , hesitation or reluctance, which reinforces this interpretation, is that the implemented or expected dismissals have solidly justified or justified the isolated and their non-compliance with the president, as required by the “Your Command, Sir” team work system.
If we take this interpretation, that is, the preparation for the use of force in a place, then the next question will be what field will Trump choose to exercise those acts of force? Here, it would make sense to think of the domestic and international US domains.
Domestically, Trump’s intention, after his refusal to admit defeat, could explain the failure to hand over power to whom the polls confirmed as president, and thus Trump will stick to the votes of 70 million Americans (48 % of voters) who voted for him and is based on the strength of the weapon that he has spread among the citizenry to exceed the last estimate of 40 million weapons, and wants to ensure the military, security and judicial side to ensure the success of the popular movement that supports him and refuses to leave the White House. Thus, the transfers and appointments, from the president of the Supreme Court to those mentioned above, are preparatory actions for the official and popular theater of operations to install Trump in office, no matter what the ballot box says. A decision he makes is not indifferent to what this measure may derive from a popular explosion that can lead to a civil war and the fragmentation of the country, so Trump believes that the white majority that voted for him is the one that has the right to elect the president of the United States, if not most of its merchants. General popularity must act with the opinion of the white majority, whatever the results.
Regarding the external aspect of the use of force, which is the most dangerous, it may be motivated by revenge or to implement what it did not achieve despite its promise, and it will be in one or more of the four main stages of operations, the first of which is the Middle East region against the axis of resistance and Iran, and the second in Latin America is against Venezuela and others, the third in the Far East is against China and the latter against Russia.
From our point of view, and among these theaters of operations, we think that the first preferred option will be based on a comparison between the Middle East and Latin America with a certain preponderance of the Middle East, especially since Trump will find in it what is most appropriate to launch or justify war operations, since war expenses will be insured with money. Gulf oil (some say that Saudi Arabia, along with other Gulf states, paid in advance the expenses of this war and received the promise to implement it without specifying the date of its launch) and that they fabricate a direct cause for the outbreak of the War is easy in light of the flames burning in the region for 10 years with the presence of 65,000 American soldiers in 54 scattered military bases in the region – and this war will finally achieve security for “Israel” by dismantling the axis of resistance and destroy their dangerous weapons with all their components, and join the destruction of Syria by Iran and Hezbollah. It will provide more opportunities for the Deal of the Century that gave Israel more than it asked for. If Trump chooses this direction, the next question will be: What is the target bank and what are the military and security operations that are likely to be implemented?
Of course, we exclude total war in the region, including invasion and land occupation, as happened in Iraq, and we exclude large-scale work on multiple fronts on land, sea and air, given that legal, administrative, operational and Licensing logistics, mobilization and transfer of material and equipment is not possible in the time available and with confirmation. On the continuation of the policy of illegal criminal measures that the United States calls “sanctions” and with the possibility of an escalation of the cyber war, we see that the American leadership that is attached to Trump to implement his whims and waves of arrogance and anger You will find yourself facing a package of military field options that avoid confrontations and fights in the field. The selection focused on one or more of the following:
1- Destructive attacks against Iran’s nuclear facilities and the presence of the resistance in Syria, Iraq and Lebanon.
2- Naval operations in the Gulf against Iran accompanied by land operations against large strategic objectives.
3- A targeted military attack against what Hezbollah’s precision missiles describe in Lebanon, accompanied by exposure to the military presence of the resistance axis in southern Syria.
4- Carrying out large-scale assassinations of the resistance axis and its leaders
These assumptions will push the axis of resistance, which, as Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah’s words yesterday made clear, is that what is happening is under the focus of the axis and he takes it with the utmost seriousness and places it within the circle of actions Trump is likely to undertake with Arab Gulf funding and Israeli stimulus and the fulfillment of personal wishes. Perception prompts the Axis to take comprehensive defensive measures for it and with all its components, measures that can be found on two sides:
A- The first is passive defense to avoid damage or limit losses to the maximum by taking measures that complicate the aggressor’s mission and prevent him from reaching his goals easily and simply. Of course, this matter is taken, but it may require further action, improvement and further activation.
B – As for the second, which is the most important and effective, it is through a positive, effective and dissuasive defense, through a focused action with the strategy of “goal with the opposite goal”. Here, the axis of resistance will have a large bank of targets that includes, in addition to the US military bases in the region and the naval fleet in the Gulf, a bank of targets that includes the entire usurped area in occupied Palestine, the centers military and economic strategies in the countries that finance the war, as well as the water crossings in the Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb.
In all cases, one should not lose sight of the importance of the psychological warfare that will precede and accompany and accompany any act and aggression and will continue after it, especially since the enemy relies heavily on it, but the axis of the Resistance has become a long-term player in it, as it has excelled in it over the past two decades to the point that it has become immune to toxins. The enemy has the ability to destroy your morale, especially after having emphasized each time that the enemy can fire the first shot, but definitely will not have the last shot. So will Trump risk crazy and unnecessary action and change the face of the region, or will America’s deep state take his hand and receive it? Outside the White House before implementing his suicide decision?
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