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This announcement raised questions and controversy about the possible way in which Iran could respond to this process.
But many analysts believe that Tehran will see President Donald Trump’s term drawing to a close and may harbor hopes that Joe Biden wants to return to the nuclear deal and ease sanctions, which is the biggest potential payoff for Iran, and will also see that targeting Zadeh was a step towards political corruption. Biden is new and therefore won’t lift a finger, according to The Guardian.
The newspaper emphasized that statements by Iranian officials in local media, calling for attacks on Haifa, for example, are for local consumption and do not typically reflect their actions, noting that Iran has a long and strong history of avoiding direct conflict in the region since the end of the Iran-Iraq war in 1988.
He added that Tehran prevented a major escalation after Quds Force commander Qassem Soleimani was killed in an American incursion into Iraq, and was content to attack Iraqi bases that include American forces, and confirmed that Iran could respond through an agent like Hezbollah on Israel’s northern borders in Syria and Lebanon, and could target Israeli forces. As with the response to the Soleimani murder.
Foreign Policy magazine believes that Tehran faces difficult decisions as it does not want to appear weak, especially since the Zadeh assassination is not the first operation in 2020, as Soleimani and the Natanz nuclear site were attacked, and Al’s second man -Qaeda, Abu Al-Masry, was killed by Israeli agents, who showed weakness. Iranian internal security, which does not want to escalate and go to direct war with the United States.
But as pressure from the United States and Israel mounts, the Iranian leadership may find it more difficult to maintain relative restraint. Iran’s leaders may see the lack of action as a sign of adversaries’ weakness, calling for more covert operations and even an attack on their country.
The magazine claimed that if Iran responds to Fakhrizadeh’s assassination or attempts to restore deterrence, it will almost certainly do so deliberately and calculatedly, and it will likely choose options that provide it with some reasonable level of denial, as is often the case, through cyberattacks or by Agents Road.
But any response from them could prompt Israel to respond, which could further complicate America’s return to the nuclear deal, potentially depriving Iran of much-needed economic relief.
She said that regardless of how Iran decided to respond between now and inauguration day, its options would certainly be short-lived.
An analysis published by “Voice of America” says that Tehran will not do anything that could give US President Donald Trump an excuse to end his term with a “fierce military” response to Iran, and does not want to start a new hostility with him. president-elect, Joe Biden.
Jonathan Schanzer, a researcher at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, says that “if Iran carried out any kind of attack or participated in violent activities clearly attributed to the regime, that would, I think, be a fatal mistake that it is not obligated to make. “.
And Schanzer warns that Tehran will face difficult decisions as it is close to commemorating the first anniversary of the assassination of its military general, Qassem Soleimani, and at the same time if it takes its motive with revenge, it will not be able to break out of its isolation and dispose of. the “maximum pressure” campaign that the administration is carrying out against him. Triumph.
