Iran’s actions complicate America’s return to nuclear deal

The next six months will be an opportunity for the administration of President Joe Biden to explore the possibility of reaching an interim agreement that brings Iran closer to meeting its obligations.

Despite the news about preliminary talks between Washington and Tehran on the nuclear deal, this matter will not be easy for the Biden administration, especially in light of the changes that could be witnessed within Iran.

According to an analysis published by the “National Interest” magazine, this year’s Iranian elections may lead to the seizure of power by militants linked to the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, which will necessarily complicate Biden’s plans.

The analysis indicates that Tehran has shown that it will not give up and will not abandon its plans to build a nuclear power, even if it suffers from an economy collapsed from sanctions, which will make it adhere to the same conditions that it previously agreed to. without adding any other conditions, which will require Washington to find a way to put pressure on the Iranian regime, which believes it can make a nuclear bomb in 6-12 months, especially after having shown that it is possible to enrich uranium by 20 percent.

In another analysis by former diplomat Dennis Ross, published by The Washington Institute, he believes that Iran has been active in uranium enrichment to show the Biden administration that it is not far from producing the materials needed to make nuclear weapons, and that it will eliminate sanctions will not be enough to persuade them to return to the nuclear deal, and that Washington must provide other economic benefits to Tehran.

“It might make sense not to rejoin the nuclear deal,” says Ross.

The National Interest analysis suggests that these circumstances will push the Biden administration to take preliminary steps to return Tehran to the negotiating table, which should be treated with caution, as sanctions should not be lifted, unless Iran offers something in return. , like how to stop your support for the Houthis in Yemen, and in A Very Difficult Task, withdraw your support for Hezbollah, which is considered a very difficult matter, or even stop your support for Iraqi militias.

Iran and the six major countries – China, the United States, France, Britain, Russia and Germany – reached an agreement in 2015 in Vienna on Tehran’s nuclear program after twelve years of tension.

But the deal has been under threat since the United States’ withdrawal from it in 2018 during the era of former President Trump, especially since Iran took the initiative not to implement most of its commitments.