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Rula Muwaffaq wrote in the newspaper “Al Lewaa”:
The bet on the opportunity that the French initiative towards Lebanon could represent evaporated. French President Emmanuel Macron drowned in Lebanese mud, or rather rushed to the point of measuring his capacity for action and influence. The only thing he will seek today is to come out with the lowest possible losses by turning corners on his initiative, sometimes indicating that Paris does not interfere in the details of names and bags, and other times that it did not stipulate the rotation and exit of the financial portfolio of hands of the ‘Shiites’.
A government reference in the club of former prime ministers says that what Macron has proposed to them is to nominate an apolitical figure to head the government. The designated president chooses his team of specialists, regardless of the influence of political forces and their nomenclatures. He is entrusted with the task of implementing the reform plan, which has become a prerequisite for providing external financial and economic assistance to halt Lebanon’s rapid collapse.
In the information, the French departments are exerting all their strong pressure for the success of the government formation, without it being clear at the expense of who the pressures that demand a regression in the conditions posed by the influential parties will come, among which stands out the “Shiite duo”, especially “Hezbollah” whose parliamentary bloc was open. Brazenly, after their meeting yesterday when announcing: “We categorically reject anyone who names the ministers who should represent us in government, and we also categorically reject anyone who prohibits receiving the component to which we belong to any ministerial portfolio, and the portfolio of the Ministry of Finance in particular. Otherwise, we are open to discussion. “An open statement confirming that the” Shi’ite duo “does not abandon an occasion or event unless they turn it into an opportunity in form and content to consolidate the norms and consolidate the achievements imposed since outside the constitution and the “Taif Agreement”, relying on the surplus of arms power and the dominance of internal decision-making as a result of an imbalance of power and following a Carrot and Stick policy.
It has become imperative for Al-Husseini to publish the “Al-Taif” minutes in order to understand the spirit of the agreement and clarify the ambiguities of unwritten understandings.
The dedication of the “Shiite duo” to new events at the system level and the working mechanisms of the institutions does not exempt others from the opposite side, especially the political forces that were among the forces of “March 14” and that made wrong decisions, the most serious of which is the compromise in the presidential agreement that led Michel Aoun as president of the Republic in a maneuver that negatively reversed Lebanon and led to an Arab and international blockade as a result of its fall in the orbit of the Iranian axis at the government level.
The new facts do not exempt the former prime ministers who had surrendered to Macron’s will to nominate the designated president and cover him up without clear guarantees of what the French initiative, which they considered a “window” to offer to save the country from drowning total, especially since the doubts from the beginning revolved around the ability of the French player to press. The party that has the Lebanese card and that has the last word in everything related to constitutional requirements.
Some observers like to say that the objective of talking about the rotation was to remove the Ministry of Energy from the hands of the “national movement”, since the electrical file constitutes the first title of the reform. This is a fact well understood by the head of the movement, Gebran Bassil, who prompted him to propose a comprehensive, not partial rotation, so that the loss afflicts everyone and is not limited to him alone, and deals a blow to the ally – opponent Nabih Berri and his successor to the “Shiite duo” clinging to the financial portfolio, while Club saw former heads of government, or one of them, by proposing the rotation as a valuable opportunity to end the consecration of the monopoly of the “Shiite duo “to the Ministry of Finance under the title of ensuring the pact, and considering that there was an implicit agreement that occurred in the deliberations of Taif in 1989 and was not included in the text that the Ministry of Finance gave to the Shiite sect The guarantee For this, it is through the third signature, which must be accompanied by the signature of the President of the Republic and the Prime Minister of the decrees, in addition to the signature of the competent minister in his ministry for everything that generates charges and conomic to the State.
In any case, it has become necessary, after three decades, the publication of the minutes of the Taif Agreement, which is the task entrusted to the former Speaker of Parliament Hussein al-Husseini, to understand the spirit of the agreement, its interpretations and its background, and to clarify all ambiguities in your texts or in the environment of conversations. Agreements or implicit agreements, especially since there is another issue related to the Senate, which is rumored to have an unwritten understanding that its presidency goes to the Druze, at a time when some consider that there is no written text in this context, so this matter resembles the subject of the Ministry of Finance and the understandings around it.
In conclusion, whatever the internal accounts of the political parties and the French accounts, there is a truth that is no longer possible to jump, which is that the French initiative was assassinated, and the government of Mustafa Adib, and if he managed to form it, no It will be a positive shock in terms of its composition, composition and program. This is because the policy of turning the corners that is adopted to remove the authors from the dilemma of the “Shiite duo” by holding on to the finance portfolio and naming the minister in it, will open the door to “Bazaar” other demands, if the leaks are true that an understanding has been made to give the “duo” what they want. It is a bazaar that begins with the refusal to rotate the bags and goes on naming each sect of its ministers until the blockade of the third, and everything that will repeat the same experiences in previous governments, making the Adib government a copy of the Hassan government. Diab, which raises the question of the significance of the beginning of the formation of a new government. Consolidation of the political failure whose repercussions will have a strong impact on the country. The most important thing is that this process will lead to raising the level of sectarian and sectarian tensions, given that instead of being the first step on the road to pulling Lebanon out of the hole, it will work to deepen it by consecrating the effects of the coup that began May 7, 2008 and led to the “Doha” agreement and still remains. Continuous.
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