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Almost 14 years have passed since the outbreak of the Lebanon war in July 2006, and the Israeli and Iranian parties represented by the terrorist organization Hezbollah, backed by Tehran, are still approaching the dangers of a new war, according to a summary. analytical of military and strategic experts at the Atlantic Council in Washington. .
In this analytical reading of the reality of the prospects for a new war in southern Lebanon, it will be, according to experts, “destructive and deadly” and more like a “nightmare” for Hezbollah leaders and their environment.
The meeting considered that despite Lebanon’s suffering and difficulties with the “Corona virus” crisis and its unparalleled economic collapse, intelligence in Washington indicates that Hezbollah followed internal policies and carried out “silent” and “non-existent responses “to avoid any military slippage with the Israeli state.
The experts attributed these steps to the fact that, according to studies prepared by the Council, Hezbollah cannot enter into any adventure whose results are known in terms of the massive destruction it will inflict on Lebanon and its infrastructure.
And faced with the challenges that may arise at the Lebanese-Israeli borders, what future can be found if things go wrong and become dangerous?
In this context, the retired Israeli general, Asaf Orion, who headed the strategic planning apparatus at the Israeli Defense Ministry between 2010 and 2015, says that Hezbollah is not interested in entering any adventure given his prior knowledge that the deterrent force what you believe in is just a fragile barrier.
Consequently, the leaders of the organization, whose name was associated with the “terrorist” in various countries of the world, are aware of the results of the “horrible nightmare” that would hit Lebanon if it fought in an adventure similar to the one that happened in 2006.
Orion explained that Israel would respond to any terrorist attack by the “party” through clever attacks on “hundreds of thousands” of targets, through precision weapons of destruction, and this, of course, would organize unprecedented destruction.
Lebanon is dealing with a series of crises unprecedented in its history, and no one can say that anxiety over the outbreak of a war with Israel cannot be tolerated or dreamed of.
He noted that the recent periodic flight of Israeli planes in Lebanese airspace had raised alarm and fear among government officials in Beirut.
Blanford believes that in 2006 Hezbollah suffered heavy human losses that were similar to the massacre, adding that party leaders realize that if there were to be a war, what happened in 2006 would be a picnic of what the Israeli military machine could cause this time.
He explained that the weapon from which the party benefited in the period after 2006 was, of course, used by humans and human beings, in their intervention in the wars in Syria and Iraq, which had negative results that affected many of them. and to the poverty-stricken Shiite community in southern Lebanon.
For her part, Mara Carlin, director of strategic studies at Johns Hopkins University, considered that the war between Hezbollah and Israel is a question that raises a question: when will this war occur? And not if it will fall!
He added that the next war will be devastating and emphatic, noting that many countries will think about one thing, which is how to provide assistance to the Israelis, so that many scenarios can float on the surface of the battle, which will undoubtedly unfortunately, it will not be in Lebanon’s interest.
