Help the power or the bank explode



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Between the growing threat to the northern front starting in Lebanon, passing through Syria, Iraq and even Iran, and the potential future threat in the West Bank due to the frustration of the Palestinian Authority with the Israeli partner and the Americans, the establishment of security in Israel is turning its attention to the north, as Ramallah will not leave. In short, on the strategy of “housing” and receiving crumbs of rights, and that the possibility of it directing or allowing the Palestinians the option to resist the occupation militarily and at a security level is almost non-existent. Therefore, Tel Aviv’s political and security institutions consider that President Mahmoud Abbas, despite all that has happened recently, remains “safe”.

According to the leaks of the newspaper “Haaretz” that seem deliberate and determined, the deliberations that took place away from the media between Israeli security officials and politicians concluded that “Abbas decided to avoid confrontation with Israel, and is considered the ideal Palestinian leader. “And against the background of this” idealism “” we must seek to reach an understanding with him. “However, the security system expresses its concern about the following, and the escalation and chaos in the West Bank in the context of the deterioration of economic conditions in the Palestinian Authority areas. According to the leaks, the causes of this deterioration range from a decline in the GDP of the Palestinian economy to 13.5 percent, and an unemployment rate of over 35 percent, and around half a million Palestinians (in the West Bank and Gaza Strip) lost their jobs or entered the debt cycle due to the Crown crisis. They have lowered you (the average wage of the worker is 35 dollars a day, and its weakness among workers in the settlements and Israel), because most of them are related to the tourism sector, hotels and restaurants, while Israel has been granting strictly work permits for Palestinians, who had reached more than 140,000 permits a day before the crisis. . In addition to the above, a third of private companies in the West Bank have closed or are almost closed due to economic difficulties, and that more than 40 percent of the checks that were circulated were without balance.
These data, according to Israeli security officials, would bring Palestinian society closer to boiling point, after they had already led to an increase in domestic violence, disputed gun use and school dropouts by children. But does this change the position of authority? Israeli security sources confirm that the Authority, like Israel, is not interested in escalating security in the West Bank, but fear stems from the consequences of the economic decline, accompanied by Palestinian despair based on the loss of hope for that solutions and political agreements can be reached. According to an Israeli security source, “The issue, as is clear from the positions of Palestinian officials, is not related to a new intifada and Palestinian weapons attacking Israel, as everyone realizes that they will pay a very high price, and Abu Mazen is not interested in that, but the Palestinians always raise the possibility that they decide to dissolve the Authority. And give it back to Israel.

Economic conditions may bring Palestinian society closer to boiling point

Based on the above, and given that the “Haaretz” report is based on sources within the Israeli army, it is possible to say that it contains messages in more than one direction, in addition to the warning to political leaders in Israel that Abbas will persist in refraining from adopting the “violence” option. Against Israel, it does not necessarily mean that the result is good. The scenario of dissolving the Authority and handing over its institutions to Israel will come to the fore here, involving political, economic, human rights, military and security burdens. The report also warns that most of the factors that could lead to the overthrow of the Authority are the result of Israeli positions and measures, mostly based on the background of internal rivalries between Israeli parties, and behind the voice of the right through extremist measures against the Palestinians that are useless. Consequently, the army shows that diverting attention from the northern front, which consumes most of the resources of the military establishment, and that the Palestinian arena is inferior to the priorities of the Chief of Staff, in front of it, which will lead to the loss of resources in crisis that politicians can fix by stopping auctions between them.
It is clear, then, that the aim of these leaks is to urge political leaders to take steps to ease the economic hardships in Ramallah, so that Tel Aviv does not have to take direct responsibility for the Palestinians, as it was before the “Accord. from Oslo “. The report, in general, is a necessary introduction to these measures, since it helps the political leadership to convince the Israeli public opinion, which has become more right-wing, and it is difficult to resort to financial aid to the authority. However, what is surprising about the leaks is the continued assurance of the security establishment in Israel that the Authority will not follow and will not allow a strategy that differs from begging for the occupation.

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