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Muhammad Choucair wrote in Asharq Al-Awsat:
The “suicidal” step taken by the head of the Future Movement, former Prime Minister Saad Hariri, when announcing his approval for the Shiites to retain the Ministry of Finance for once, on the condition that the president in charge of forming the new government elect Ambassador Mustafa Adeeb, the Shiite minister who will occupy this portfolio to make the initiative a success The Frenchman, was not the only step, and had already voluntarily agreed to “drink poison” when he arrived with General Michel Aoun to a hasty arrangement the election of the latter as president of the republic before its political effects were lost.
Therefore, the difference between the suicidal step that he took the day before yesterday without the approval of his colleagues in the club of former prime ministers, and the one that did not last long, is that his “second suicide” was not the culmination of an agreement on a deal with no local party to remove the obstacles encountered. Facilitate the birth of the new government and press for the French initiative that restored international interest in Lebanon not to be abandoned.
In other words, the non-populist maneuver that Hariri took did not simulate his political and sectarian street and caused a shock to most of the Arab countries through his accredited ambassadors in Lebanon, who were surprised by his passage, while the Ministry of Relations The French Foreign Ministry indirectly welcomed him by requesting the formation of the government immediately and without delay.
In this context, political sources said that Hariri launched his initiative because he was convinced that it was the last chance for Lebanon to move it from the crisis stage to the salvation stage, and they assured Al-Sharq al-Awsat that it is not allowed deal with Hariri’s move as if he wanted to rescue French President Emmanuel Macron. Simply that there is nothing else, that Lebanon is a thousand good and that the fears that began to speak of a social, security, economic and livelihood explosion are beginning to knock on the doors, and nowhere will be able to stop it.
He noted that Hariri, who had paid the price for the arrangement he concluded with Aoun, is well aware of the popular reaction on his street, on the grounds that his initiative does not mimic the mood of most of his supporters without them taking the initiative to use the street to express his refusal, and said he wanted his way. This is to reduce the level of losses that will not befall him and his political movement, but the country as a whole, which is currently in the crater of a volcano that threatens not only the disappearance of the State, but also the increased level of sectarian and sectarian tension.
The same sources believed that Hariri would prefer to withdraw from political life rather than become a witness to the outbreak of fighting between Sunnis and Shiites, unable to infect it.
She revealed that Hariri knew how to squeeze the “Shiite duo” into the corner, and through him Iran, and said that the ball is in his goal, and that President Aoun is meeting with him in his insistence on applying rotation in the distribution of bags between the sects on the one hand, and in their success for the French initiative on the other, despite the communication. They are cut off, and attempts to reopen consultation channels have been unsuccessful so far, and that their sending to a member of their bloc, Samir Al-Jisr, to participate in the consultations sponsored by Aoun is not part of the resumption of the normalization of relations, but rather in confirming that it is not in the process of closing the doors to attempts to save the French initiative.
The same sources considered that Hariri did not seek, through his intrusive initiative to shame the ‘Shiite duo’, to absolve him of his responsibility towards Macron, but his gratitude for the disappearance of the Lebanese entity if the French initiative did not succeed, especially because the alternative would only be in the explosion of the situation in the absence of any dissuasive force to absorb it.
She confirmed that Adeeb will not meet with Aoun until the position of the “Shiite duo” is clarified, and said that the President of the Republic cannot take the lead in the reactions to Hariri’s initiative, preferring to wait until after clarity. of vision for the different positions of the “Amal” and “Hezbollah” movement towards him, especially the latter. Bearing in mind that the Speaker of Parliament, Nabih Berri, is not in the process of escalation, he will not be alone with his position on his ally.
He explained that the prime minister’s insistence on differentiating his position from Hariri’s could be used in the context of aligning forces to pressure Hezbollah, saying: “Hariri has no interest in ranking the position of his colleagues in the club of heads of government as if it were totally inconsistent with him and that a political divorce between them is just around the corner. ” “They wanted to keep the return line for themselves,” he confirmed. Therefore, reshaping Macron’s initiative depends on Hezbollah’s response, because its position extends to the Iranian position in light of the local belief that the solution and the link are now in the hands of Tehran. Will you return the favor to Macron’s stances on US sanctions and the US-Iran nuclear deal? Or will she decide to wait, keeping the Lebanese card to herself, to use in negotiations with Washington when the time comes after the US presidential election?
Consequently, Hezbollah’s position on the Hariri initiative that it presented only without coordinating with the Christian forces and the Maronite Church, which unanimously agreed to apply the rotation and not adopt the principle of exclusivity that allows the sect to monopolize some exchanges and also in his differentiation from the position of prime ministers has been linked to Tehran’s political agenda. .
Will it take the initiative to lift its place on the formation of the government, which would push the “Shiite duo” to meet Hariri halfway? Or will he present the necessary reasons to suspend the initiative of Macron, who will be forced to break his silence and put points in the letters, naming things by their names, especially since Hariri’s uniqueness will not constitute an excuse for this couple to do so. use to justify your rejection?
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