Hariri to the authorship battle! Phalanges

Monitoring circles, through Kuwaiti opinion, saw that President Michel Aoun vowed to assign Future Movement leader Saad Hariri to promise him in the arena of government formation.

Go to the battle for authorship! The Lebanese President, Michel Aoun, announced on the eve of the parliamentary consultations to entrust the leader of the “Movement of the Future”, Saad Hariri, with the formation of a government to manage the most serious economic-financial crisis that “applied” to the “country of the cedars “besieged by regional fire and its burning conflicts.

Aoun’s speech to the Lebanese and the “representatives of the nation” arrived yesterday afternoon, full of symbolism, summaries and messages in all directions. »Who practically became a face-to-face arena between Aoun and his team, led by his brother-in-law Gebran Bassil, and the leader of the” future “, who returns to prime minister from outside the context of the settlement, which led him back to the companies aboard the “great adventure” when opening the doors of the Republican Palace to the “General” 2016) and on the ruins of a red line entitled “Hariri and Basil together inside or outside the government”

According to informed circles, it was not easy for Aoun to announce between the lines of his message “No to Hariri to lead the government” and at the same time be forced to swallow the bitter cup by obtaining binding parliamentary consultations (today) that cannot be delayed a second time. consecutively, neither internally nor externally. And it is that the return of the “future” leader appears as a rupture of the President of the Republic, who clearly addressed his allies more than his opponents in his speech, after his desire to coexist with assignment and authorship “jumped” and to avoid giving Hariri a letter of excellence that weakens Basilio’s negotiating position, in a final attempt. (De Aoun) to request a request from the allied parties to postpone consultations, and to address MPs implicitly not to name the leader of the “future”, so “judge your conscience and think about the effects of the assignment on the authorship “.

Parallel to this reading and to the opinion of the opponents of the pact that Aoun’s appearance and his speech to “those closest and most distant” express “impotence and isolation”, political circles believed that the president of the republic seemed closer to “take up arms” for the post-assignment phase, the result of which would be respected “since I have no veto of anyone.” And to Hariri’s “promise” that he will meet him in the “authorship arena”, “I have said my word and I will not walk, and I will continue to assume my responsibilities in the commission and the writing, and in each position and position. constitutional, against all those who prevent our people from reforming. “

And while these circles considered that the path of composition would be traced by two opposing impulses, the external one, led by France, under US cover, to approve a government in accordance with the work program marked by the initiative of President Emmanuel Macron and his reform provisions based on the “priority of a government before the collapse of the structure over the heads of all”, and an internal one led by the accounts of Aoun and his team to erase traces What seemed to be the “defeat of the allocation “and preventing the expansion of losses with its continued repercussions on Bassil’s position in the next presidential elections and even raising a yellow card to what appeared to be a local” modulator “turned his back on the” Free Patriotic Movement ” , asked to monitor whether “Hezbollah” “Compensation is coming” to Aoun would begin to be awarded based on today’s consultations by failing to name Hariri, which which would mean that the party would have to pressure its allies who announced not to vote for the leader of the “future” (like the consultative meeting) and make sure that others vote for him (like National). Note that blocs like Tashnak (which is part of Bassil’s bloc) have been embarrassed by appointing Hariri because of the high ceiling of the president’s speech.

This indicates that today’s assignment will be under close scrutiny for any surprises that may cause problems, such as deliberately assigning Hariri to an uncomfortable majority (especially below half plus one, though not constitutionally conditional) and the possibility of using this matter to shame the leader of the “future”, or cast votes on the Bassil bloc. That the President of the Republic act with him, despite the conviction that Hariri, who yesterday was notified of his call with the head of the “national” bloc, Asaad Hardan, and refused to respond to Aoun before taking on the role of assignment in his pocket, he still chooses to “turn his back on any provocation.”