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Muhammad Choucair wrote in Asharq Al-Awsat:
A well-informed Lebanese political source revealed that the president in charge of forming the new government, Saad Hariri, will not remain inactive in the face of the continued stalemate that has delayed its birth and has brought the consultations to the starting point. The source told Al-Sharq Al-Awsat that Hariri will at any moment break the vicious circle surrounding its creation by presenting President Michel Aoun with a ministerial training project of 18 ministers so that he can build on what is required in light. of Aoun’s reaction, what he’s entitled to. Constitutionally, do not accept it or ask to wait before determining your final position on the staff.
The political source pointed out that Hariri himself avoided contacts since last Friday and went to evaluate the result of his consultations with Aoun in preparation to determine which option he would take from a set of options to break the stalemate in the consultations taking place in a vicious circle, and said that he settled for his opinion on For Aoun to present a ministerial lineup, etc., he will return the ball if he objects without resorting to the option of apologizing, at least in the near future.
He stressed that Hariri takes into account that the ministerial formula is made up of independent and specialized ministers, and who participates in it has nothing to do with the media leaks that addressed their queries from an angle that prioritizes quotas in the distribution of ministerial portfolios. And he believed that a balance is achieved between sects and pushes a move away from customs and traditions in the distribution of sovereign portfolios in terms of his insistence that some of these bags be of the participation of small sects rather than being limited to the four sects: Maronites, Shiites, Sunnis and Orthodox.
He considered that the ministerial formula drawn up by Hariri is supposed to be a source of local, Arab and international confidence to convey a message to all concerned that he remains committed to the French initiative and to the road map presented by President Emmanuel Macron and that he had the support of the most prominent political components that met in the Pinnubar Palace.
He said that any other formula will inevitably meet the rejection of the international community, which is showing its willingness to save Lebanon and help it emerge from its crises, as long as the Lebanese start to help themselves.
The political source emphasized that the cabinet reorganization prepared by Hariri would not be subject to the political bazaar, nor to the distribution of quotas nor to the granting of consolation prizes for one or that party. He said that any combination that takes into account the above criteria in the formation of governments will be counterproductive in Lebanon and it will be more like someone imitating himself, and therefore it does not make sense to market it locally or abroad.
And he believed that Hariri does not intend from this step to crowd this party or the other as much as he wanted to raise the alarm at the opportune moment to send a message in more than one direction that saving the country will not be achieved by relying on previous work tools, and thus behaving as if we were a thousand good guys and we had passed. The disaster that befell Beirut as a result of the explosion in the port.
Critical review
He advised not to bet that Hariri would have to accept the conditions of some to release the cabinet formation, and attributed the reason to that he had changed and benefited from previous experiences and conducted a critical review that showed him where he made a mistake and where he was injured, and He said that pressure on him will not help and will not change his convictions on the pretext that what interests him return. At any price for the prime minister.
The same source considered that the positive atmosphere that characterized his consultations with Aoun soon changed, and this led to a reduction in the level of optimism that prevailed until last Thursday night and that was reflected by the President of Parliament Nabih Berri in front of her visitors , before taking the initiative to hold his breath the next day in light of The data that was communicated to him were not satisfactory.
The source emphasized that Hariri promised to keep total secrecy about the deliberations that took place between him and Aoun over the course of more than half a dozen meetings, because some of them were kept completely secret, and said that he would not get involved in political discussions with anyone.
Main obstacle
A former prime minister, who preferred not to be identified, revealed to Asharq Al-Awsat that the main obstacle delaying the birth of the government resides in the head of the Free Patriotic Movement, deputy Gebran Bassil, who seeks to impose his hegemony over the formation of the cabinet without Aoun’s initiative to dissuade him, let alone. He was forced to take it into account, though he did not resist some of what he had agreed with Hariri.
Noting that “Hezbollah” did not interfere with Aoun and through Bassil to facilitate the birth of the government, he said on the other hand that he supports increasing the number of ministers from 18 to 20 to satisfy his ally, who insists on representing deputy Talal Arslan in government.
Artificial knot
In response to a question, the source clarified that what was expressed in the sermon of the Maronite Patriarch Bechara Al-Rai after the end of the Synod, has the support of the vast majority of Lebanese who believe that it is necessary that some or all parties step aside to allow the advent of a government that is the first of its kind in Lebanon’s history.
He emphasized that Aoun was not obliged to act to public opinion as if he was negotiating with Hariri on Bassil’s behalf, and said the problem lies in his insistence on obtaining the guarantor or obstructive third party in government and on representing Arslan, who leads a parliamentary bloc, which is equivalent to a deposit for Bassil deposited with him in an attempt to float him.
He saw that the problem is not in the Druze knot, which is manufactured and invoked by Basilio to block the attention of his endless desire to control the main joints in government, and said that this does not mean that there are no other contracts, but it is solvable. , unlike the conditions that Basilio puts, although he knows that there is no place for the third guarantor. In government and has become a relic of the past, and this is what everyone realizes.
Security File
He revealed that Aoun, and through him Bassil, wants to preserve the Defense, Interior, Energy and Justice portfolios, and that means that he wants to control the security file. Otherwise, what is the justification for the receptions that Bassil organizes so that several retired officers elect whoever nominates them from among them to the Defense and Interior Ministries, who who directs them is like the administrative ruler of Lebanon. So, won’t you give it up and dress only independent personalities?
Therefore, the question remains, why did Hezbollah not decide to intervene with Aoun and Bassil? Does your refusal have anything to do with rumors of delaying the formation of the government until after the results of the US presidential election tomorrow? How will Aoun deal with Hariri’s insistence on his post by presenting him with one ministerial formation after another, and consequently leave Lebanon internationally? Or will the crisis open the door to external interventions to prevent the collapse of Lebanon and its disappearance, which will push the Temple to fall on the heads of all without exception, and thus enter the country in an unprecedented crisis?
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