Hariri facing the opportunity for solution or confrontation



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The main criteria for the exit of white smoke from the Baabda Palace today is that the Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri brings to the President of the Republic Michel Aoun a complete government vision, which includes the distribution of bags with the approval of the political parties. Otherwise, there is no government today, which means that Hariri “did not read the words of the last president of the republic, the words of Sayyid Hassan Nasrallah, or the positions of former deputy Walid Jumblatt,” according to sources concerned about the authorship. proceedings.

Two days after Nasrallah’s call to form a techno-political government, the silence on the president-designate’s ally remained silent. Even when sources close to Hariri were asked, they were satisfied that he insisted on forming a government of non-partisan specialists supported by parliamentary blocs to implement the required reforms. But the “media silence” was not the same in the discussions he held directly and through mediation with the Shiite duo. While Hariri was sure that the proposal expresses Hezbollah’s conviction without implying any withdrawal from the agreement with him, he blamed his “reluctant” ally Walid Jumblatt, who surprised him by his visit to the Republican Palace and his invitation to Hariri to dialogue with Gebran Bassil, and his withdrawal of support for the government of the 18 ministers. Even when the deputy Wael Abu Faour explained to Hariri the background and dimensions of the visit, highlighting that Jumblatt does not turn against the alliance with him, but sees the horizon blocked and fears civil peace and prefers an agreement, Hariri he was not convinced. . He interpreted Jumblatt’s position as “coming under pressure.” He added to those concerned about the matter: “I want the government, and I want an agreement with the president of the republic, but I do not want a government that explodes in its first session, and I do not trust Gebran Bassil and myself. I do not see the need. for a political government to make the exterior reject any cooperation with us to face the economic crisis. “
In addition, Hariri still avoids talking about government details, specifically about the distribution of the main bags, especially the Justice and Interior portfolios. And he refuses to let Aoun or Basil influence them. And although he is willing to reach an understanding on the middle names, he refuses, on the other hand, to grant the President of the Republic, and his successor Basil, the third block that allows him to paralyze the government in a moment, then , as? if Hezbollah joined them?

Hariri blamed Jumblatt for calling for dialogue with Bassil and for his withdrawal from the 18th government.

Sources close to the designated prime minister indicated that he would visit Baabda to hear the president’s statements about the training that he had previously given him last December, expressing his willingness to discuss any name or portfolio. The sources had downplayed the importance of the meeting in relation to the atmosphere that prevailed in recent days, which “confirms what Hariri heard from the President of the Republic that he wanted six ministers without the Tashnak.” For Hariri, this means that the President of the Republic insists on obtaining the third endorsement in the next government, which sources confirm is a “red line” for the designated president.
In the echo of these climates, understanding does not seem possible without the interference of powerful forces. It is not clear if the French will support the “last minute” agreement between Aoun and Hariri, and offer their security to Hariri regarding the positions of the United States and Saudi Arabia, although Hariri himself knows that Paris will not succumb to Washington or Riyadh. . Rather, you hear different climates on the European side that imply a negative atmosphere towards Lebanon if it does not commit to establishing a government outside the influence of the great powers, especially Aoun and Hezbollah. However, at the same time, the president-designate rejects the “bids” of the “hawks” who want him to enter into a suicidal confrontation. Until now, he has rejected the idea of ​​apologizing or resigning from parliament, but he was very clear in a letter he sent to President Hassan Diab through the latter’s adviser, Khader Talib, stating that he could not expand the interim department according to the logic advocated by Aoun and Hezbollah. This is what paves the way for the prevailing belief that Hariri is ahead of the crucial hours, during which he decides to conclude an agreement that will lead to a quick solution or a confrontation with which no one knows what the country will be like with him.

Security platform
In addition, the government committee in charge of the support file resumed its meetings to reach a decisive decision on the issue of rationalization of subsidies. The same is expected to be discussed today at the Banque du Liban Central Council meeting, which meets outside of weekly hours, in addition to the issue of the platform that the Governor of the Banque du Liban announced he will establish. regulate foreign exchange operations. Although he views this step positively, delaying it for more than a year has allowed people to pay high prices for Riad Salameh’s intransigence and his insistence on not regulating the banking sector.
According to sources close to the governor of the Banque du Liban, preparations will begin this week for the issuance of the decision on the platform, claiming that the operating mechanism of the new platform will give a dollar to anyone who has an excuse to obtain it. . This allows virtually all traders and importers to use the platform, after the 3,900 lira platform was restricted to importers of subsidized materials. Although the new platform will attract a large proportion of those looking to buy dollars, restricting it to the banking system and those who have a real need for the dollar will inevitably mean that the black market will continue to meet the additional demand for dollars, even if it is expected to be limited. and at prices that do not exceed the price of the platform.

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