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The “Likud” pole surprised the political arena with what it did, despite the fact that his personal feud with his former party chief, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, was an integral part of his presence, political movement and outdated positions within Likud. , as a figure opposed to Netanyahu, who fought amid his 2019 contest for the presidency. The Likud, however, suffered a major defeat in the party’s internal elections, making Netanyahu a leader. To avoid that scenario, Sa’ar decided this time to make his way by forming a new party, which was leaked to be a subject of interest and study for him for months. And the first opinion poll, the new party, which has yet to be announced, awarded 12 seats in the next election. And it’s a result likely to be doubled in the event that several other Likud leaders join Sa’ar, or if other scenarios are in the works, including the joining of former Israeli army chief of staff Gadi Eisenkot to the party. nascent.
In the content of Sa’ar’s announcement, a clear indication of the direction of his next election campaign, as he put it, “the Likud has changed and has become a tool to serve the personal interests of its leader (Netanyahu), including his criminal trial. He added: “I can no longer support the government led by Netanyahu, and I can no longer be a member of the Likud under his leadership. I say with regret, as someone who has been seen by the appropriate leader to lead the country and occupy high places. positions in his government, Israel needs unity and stability now, and Netanyahu cannot provide any of them. Soon, Netanyahu, who focused on gaining credibility for Sa’ar and showing personal interest in his decision to withdraw from the Likud, responded, saying , in the words of his spokesman, that “Sa’ar will leave the party after it became clear to him that he would lose in the primaries and internal elections of the Likud, and would not be among the top 10. On the party’s list” for the next elections. In parallel, those close to Netanyahu reissued statements by Sa’ar confirming that “Likud” is his political home and that he will not withdraw from it, regardless of the circumstances.
If the elections are decided, Sa’ar will not only harm the Likud and its leader, Netanyahu
Although it is too early to explore the implications of the Sa’ar movement, several observations can be made about it, as follows:
– The first victim of Sa’ar’s withdrawal from Likud on the eve of probable elections in the event that the “Knesset” dissolves by the three readings after the approval of its dissolution by preliminary reading, is Netanyahu, who no longer he is sure whether he will win the place of the first party in terms of the number of seats in the Knesset. This was followed by the withdrawal of the new party, as well as the party of its rival, “Yamina”, headed by former Minister of Security Naftali Bennett, a balanced constituency of right-wing voters and Likud itself. This means that Netanyahu will not guarantee his mandate to form the next government, after he was almost a guarantor for him, given that the center, the left, the “Arab List” and the “Israel Our Home” party, led by the former Minister Avigdor Lieberman, were unable to accumulate enough seats to form the government. Therefore, Netanyahu became anxious for the right itself, and after focusing only on Bennett, he now belongs to the house of the “Likud” party.
– In the context of this scene saturated with challenges and dangers for the head of Likud, the question arises as to whether the elections will actually take place and whether Netanyahu will intend to stop the legal path to dissolve the Knesset and work to find an agreement with the head of the recombinant Blue and White Party. With him in the current government, Security Minister Benny Gantz seeks relief from a looming political nightmare.
– If the elections are decided, Sa’ar will not only harm the Likud and its leader, Netanyahu, but will also withdraw against the more extremist party Yemina, as it is now estimated that the new party will attract different segments of the political right and its voters, as well as an electorate from the center, and perhaps also from the left and the center of the center, which means, on a first reading, that Sa’ar will advance on the political stage and be a true competitor for the next government, and it is not an inconvenience to Likud and its president, Netanyahu, or simply a regular competitor of other parties.
Whatever it is, Sa’ar’s move is still in its infancy, although it opens the way for political changes within Israel that would alter the balance of power in him. Consequently, the question arises: Will the political victims, despite being numerous, allow Sa’ar’s maneuver to succeed? Will they act, as is the case, to stop the dissolution of the “Knesset” and prevent early elections? The answer does not appear to be currently available, although it is true that the options and alternatives are limited to those affected.
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