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Antoine Al-Asmar wrote in “The Brigade”:
The diplomatic data received in Beirut are promising. This is because a preliminary reading of the renewed dynamism of Paris on the Lebanese question shows that there is already cumulative work to revive the French initiative, which, in turn, has gained international acceptance: the Vatican, especially the United States, was not available. during the administration of France. former President Donald Trump.
Those who listen to French officials discover that they have persistence in investigating a Lebanese rape, which Paris failed to achieve in the first version of the Sept. 1 initiative at the Pine Palace. But they also show a deeper understanding of the intertwined Lebanese reality, with an acknowledgment that the first French entry into the crisis was emotional, causing it to stumble, given that it was the enthusiasm with which President Emmanuel Macron appeared. overwhelmed, in parallel with the failure to grasp and absorb the Lebanese mentality and besiege the obstruction intentions. And the delay between all those who found in the French movement undermining their achievements, and more importantly, a direct damage to the personal interests that have accumulated between the political parties during the course of 3 decades of the Second Republic. Macron was stern in accusing the political class of fading and reluctance to accuse some of stealing from the state and public money, while his climax was the insistence on checking the accounts of the Banque du Liban, out of his full awareness of what to decipher. the financial system reveal the atrocities of the political class and expose all those involved in the theft of state resources and Lebanese funds.
And whoever listens to French officials, comes to a clear, and perhaps mature, conclusion that:
1- The French initiative is still alive and well. Paris is preparing to announce an updated version of it, which still maintains its two known and agreed pillars in Lebanon, that is, an important government first and then a call for an expanded political dialogue, this time not limited to the leaders who attended. . the Pine Palace dialogue in September 2020. Those interested in French diplomacy persevere Draw up a new list of possible guests from both political parties and the military.
2- The US cover was made available for the initiative, which was impossible before January 20. A senior Elysee official was reported to have arranged the first contact between Presidents Macron and John Biden (and later the contact between Chancellor Jean-Yves Le Drian and Anthony Blinken), through a quick visit to Washington, where he met with senior officials. who reached a consensus to support the French effort in Lebanon and provide maximum success. In this context, Paris urges Washington to reduce its firm stance on involving Hezbollah in the Lebanese government and to develop a realistic American position that reconciles the existing and the possible. In the sense that a dramatic change in Washington’s position on the party is not required, as much as Paris wishes for a realistic American approach to the Lebanese composition with its sectarian specificity, and specifically the area the party enjoys on the Shiite street. .
3- Paris is discussing what the position of the Gulf states will be specifically regarding the desired Lebanese solution, noting that the initial contacts it had with these countries do not indicate a change in the stated and known position based on Lebanon leaving its tragic fate as punishment for his stance on the dispute between the Gulf and Iran, and the role of Hezbollah at the local and regional level. There is a French conviction of the importance of involving the Gulf in any way towards a Lebanese solution, while relying on a possible intervention by the United States, whenever necessary, to soften the existing militancy.
4- With the certainty of the French administration that any Lebanese solution is linked in some way to the development of the dialogue path between Washington and Tehran, but it also strives to create a partial separation that leads to relaxing the Lebanese situation, starting with the formation of the government, followed by the promised political dialogue at the core of the system and the feasibility of preserving Al-Qaim’s statutory status, which was what the French president had previously called a new political contract in Lebanon. It is not unlikely that Paris, or its beautiful rural surroundings, will receive an expanded Lebanese dialogue aimed at addressing all Lebanese concerns about the nature of the regime and its many pitfalls, in preparation for the exit of the next new decade.
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