Donald Trump and the war

With Joe Biden winning the US presidential election, Donald Trump’s refusal to acknowledge his defeat, with Trump ousting Defense Secretary Mark Esper, appointing an interim defense secretary, and making “new” appointments at the Pentagon, the possibility Trump’s resort to war on Iran has grown stronger. Biden’s circles have expressed their disgust and fear at these events, especially those related to what has happened and is happening in the “Pentagon”, the main center of power to decide whether or not to resort to war. Hence, Esper’s removal and the appointments that followed, including the appointment of the acting defense minister, were seen as an indication of the possibility that Trump resorted to committing an unpredictable and ill-considered military adventure, in reaction to his “conspiracy. “which led to his fall in the elections. And since Trump’s “body” was “dressed” for all possibilities, including the sudden and unexpected, many put the possibility of war at the top of the agenda.

However, there are several questions that must be paused before accepting this possibility and surrendering to Trump’s whims that go beyond all expectations. The first is what changed after the elections to make Trump go to war, especially against Iran, which has been on the agenda for the last four years, and yet has not made the decision to launch it? Certainly, there is nothing new other than his fall in the election and Biden’s victory to lead America through the Democratic Party for the next four years. This and that cannot balance the reasons that did not allow Trump to resort to war while he was the undisputed president of the United States, in contrast to his current situation, which is characterized by the election of a new president, and no one doubts his presidency or refuses to congratulate him, except Trump and his supporters in the Republican Party and on the street. Noting that there are significant advances in the Republican Party demanding that it accept the election results and acknowledge Biden’s victory. This means that a decision to go to war, within the existing US and international equation, will be a form of extreme anomaly that would not allow the decision, if made by Trump, to be implemented or supported by a unified or quasi-unified US position. , as is. Condition in matters of war.
Furthermore, an American war against Iran needs almost unanimous approval by the centers of power in the Zionist entity, because it requires a Zionist decision to participate in it, and it has all the consequences of it. What applies to this decision is what has been applied to it for the past four years. Without considering him an American, an Israeli at the time. Is there any change in the Zionist entity that requires changing the previous decision not to resort to war in the equation of international and regional, public and private balances of power?
In fact, the contradiction between the United States and the Zionist entity on the one hand, and Iran and the axis of resistance on the other, and since at least the last four years, can only be resolved by waging a war against Iran and that axis. This is what happened on the part of the United States and the Zionist entity as they faced the contradictions that arose between them, collectively or separately, with Egypt, Syria, Iraq and the Palestinians, all of which were resolved by war throughout the second half of the 20th century and the first decade of the 21st century. The previous contradictions did not reach the current level of intensity with Iran and the axis of resistance, because the Zionist military supremacy in the region was not previously threatened as it is now threatened, which is supposed to resort to war against it more than contradictions. necessary to fight a decisive war.
As for the reason why war was not resorted to in recent years, especially in the times of Trump and Netanyahu, which are the most “extreme” and “hard-line”, it is that previous wars were short , fast and with guaranteed results in winning, as well as with the least amount of losses on the two fronts and armies of each one. From America and the Zionist entity. Today, the results of the victorious war are no longer valid, especially after the experiences of the 2006 war against Hezbollah and the war against the Gaza Strip (Hamas and Jihad) 2008/2009, 2012 and 2014. The size of the Losses that will surely fall on the American armies and the Zionist entity, especially within the Zionist entity, is now being calculated at a price that may exceed the price that the opposing party will pay in the event of war breaking out, which has never before happened (except in part in the war of October 1973).
In a word, the war was and is undoubtedly on the American-Zionist agenda. But it is subject to great reluctance to do so, and subject to delay, and to seek alternatives during that delay. Therefore, Trump or Netanyahu cannot make a war decision under the conditions of the current equation in the isthmus stage for the next two months, unless the choice is suicidal and not adventurous. Both are more cowardly than embarking on political suicide.
The preponderance is not war, leaving little chance of suicidal insanity.

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