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“Rai of Kuwait”:
The outbreak of sanctions imposed by the United States on former Lebanese Finance and Labor ministers Ali Hassan Khalil and Youssef Fenianos in the “anti-terrorism law” obscured the silent rumble of the new government’s formation record, whose motives essentially collided with silent obstacles that they made it reach its positive end in the next 15 days (Tuesday)) Identified by the French initiative is extremely difficult.
One shock to Beirut was the shock of the new round of qualitative US sanctions that began with the first of its kind targeting this high-level partner of Hezbollah in the Shiite bilateral, President Nabih Berri, through his political adviser Ali Hassan. Khalil and the party’s Christian ally, the Marada Movement, whom Sayyid Hassan Nasrallah had previously described to its leader, Suleiman Franjieh, as “the light of the eye”, through Fenians.
And while the Lebanese capital was in the middle of a new round of sanctions to be issued next week against more personalities (said to be more than 5 and less than 10), Washington’s “tighten the screws” maneuver has attracted more. focus on the “false” path to “Hezbollah”. 4 corners:
* The first is the double dimension that Washington granted, either through the merits of the sanctions decision or the statements of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, to raise this “stick” to higher levels in Lebanon, both vertically and horizontally. , which focused on “providing material support to Hezbollah and participating in corruption”, with the emergence of this new dynamic Circling as in the context of cutting off “the party’s dependence on the corrupt Lebanese political system to consolidate its influence political and economic “.
* The second coincides with the sanctions that Washington, through the Undersecretary of State for Near East Affairs, David Schenker, reported a climate of “gradual advance” in the course of the talks that are being carried out, mediated by States. United, to demarcate the maritime borders between Lebanon and Israel, expressing their hope to sign a framework agreement in a few weeks that will allow the two countries to start negotiations. To resolve this conflict.
* And the third is the manifestation of the US administration of the beginning of the “persecution with sanctions” of politicians who support Hezbollah, as a translation of the distinction between Washington and Paris in the perception of the party “it is not a legitimate political organization and we will continue to hold him accountable for his actions, “which culminated in Schenker’s statement,” There is a slight difference with the French government. On the subject, “Hezbollah is a terrorist organization and it turns out that it participates in Lebanese politics and terrorizes many parties.”
* Regarding the fourth, Washington has linked this message through the “sanctions mail” to the issue of the new government, which was expressed by Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, who emphasized: “We support the Lebanese call for reform, and We will use all available powers to improve the accountability of the Lebanese leaders who failed their people, “before Schenker continues. That “any new government in Lebanon must adopt reforms, adhere to the principle of self-distancing and remove Lebanon from the policies of the countries of the region. We look forward to working with any government if it does all these things.”
Based on these facts, the political scene seemed to be in a hazy “grip” on whether the pressure on the trigger of the “large caliber” sanctions was in a complementary context with the French initiative, that is, it included increasing its momentum. towards a government of specialists with a minimum of influence. The politician unleashes the path of reforms and subsequently drives the nails of “Hezbollah”, or it will lead to a “fracture” of this endeavor, which gave Washington, with its punishments, its “shadow” and its “treasure of its secrets” and to the “liaison officer” with the “apostate”, a clear indication that the second phase of the Paris initiative (related to the general position of “Hezbollah” and its cross-border functions) was set on fire, regardless of the timing. provide to address the technical reform part of the Lebanese crisis.
In the context, informed circles wondered if the Free Patriotic Movement “will escape” from the sword of sanctions after its president, Gebran Bassil, suggested weeks ago that “they were signaling us to impose sanctions, but I personally am willing to pay the price so as not to affect the unity of Lebanon ”.
And when circles asked if the “rattle of sanctions” would impose containment of complications in the way of government formation to take advantage of the “French opportunity” or if Washington’s gesture would add additional complications, I reflected the first position in response to the targeting of Khalil and Fannianus, as well as the information received from the training scenarios, that this file is not following the steps that the government can achieve within the French deadline, in relation to the observations made by the ruling coalition on how the President-designate Mustafa Adib handled the formation process.
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