Between Pennsylvania and Michigan … the last roles of the candidates in the presidential race |

Pennsylvania / Michigan – US President Donald Trump put all his weight into the race for the White House on the eve of the presidential election scheduled for Tuesday, hoping to reverse all opinion polls indicating that his Democratic opponent, Joe Biden , is overtaking it. Despite the headwinds, the 74-year-old former businessman heralds a Republican “wave” that will sweep across the country.

The day before the poll, US polls showed Biden ahead of Trump in swing states, which could guarantee him a majority vote in the electoral college by a wide margin.

Biden is ahead in the race, with 51 percent of voting intentions, by 6.7 points over Donald Trump, who got 44.3 percent, according to the average of polls cited by Railclair Politics.

This progress has been fairly stable during the months of the campaign, although sometimes it reaches about ten points. The current difference appears to be more than double what Hillary Clinton got on the eve of the vote four years ago. At the time, opinion polls were relatively correct in terms of the popular vote that the Democratic candidate won.

Biden slightly bolstered his lead in the closing days of the 2020 campaign in the three crucial Rust Belt states, which Trump narrowly won four years ago, according to Reuters / Ipsos polls.

And the American Insider Advantage Center, which monitors voter voting, notes that Biden leads all six Michigan polls published last weekend, and his result is more than half in four of them, in addition to advancing in the polls. five voter polls in Wisconsin, with margins ranging from 3 to 1 of 11 points.

The center also noted that the Democratic candidate also leads in five of six Pennsylvania voter polls released in the past two days, with margins of 4-7 points. He also leads the race in Arizona, according to three of four voter polls and four of six polls in Florida, two of Trump’s key states in his run to a second term.

While the situation remains similar in Arizona, one point on average in favor of Biden, in North Carolina, the curves met at the end of the streak and now give Trump a slight 0.6-point lead.

Observers confirm that Trump’s defeat in the voting is unresolved, but it is clear that he is now in a worse position than four years ago, as polls conducted during the weekend before 2016 showed that the Republican candidate he was way ahead in Michigan. And Pennsylvania, and by a wide margin in Georgia.

“We will win four more years in our wonderful White House,” Trump, feared for being the first president in a term in more than a quarter century, told an audience of supporters last Sunday. On the last day of his campaign he held five get-togethers in four states, namely North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, and his day ended in Grand Rapids, Michigan, as in 2016, when the world surprised him by winning the presidency.

As for Biden, he focused his efforts mainly on the state of Pennsylvania, where he ended his election campaign, which he hopes will transfer to the Democratic side, which will finally open the doors of the White House for him in his third attempt to win the presidency.

But observers are constantly calling for caution – providers liked the 2016 election when Trump posed one of the biggest upsets in American political history by beating Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton.

And the atmosphere of the election night will depend largely on the development of the results received from the main states, where they can be transmitted to either side. In the event that Biden wins in Florida, where results can be announced in advance, this can decide the race quickly, although there is a slight difference between the two candidates in this great state. In the southeastern United States.

And presidential elections are not decided by the popular vote, but by the votes of the main voters. It is this unique feature of the electoral system that allowed Trump to win a majority of the electorate’s 538 votes, despite the fact that Hillary Clinton led him with 3 million votes in the popular vote.

The day before the start of voting in the presidential elections, and the voters themselves flocked to the polling stations, Trump urged voters, through a tweet on his Twitter account, from some of the main states to cast their votes early. “As long as I remain in my position, the states of Nebraska, Michigan, Minnesota and Ohio will recover bigger and better than ever,” he said.

He added in the same tweet: “Early voting will close today in these great states, and we must take the initiative to go out and vote together, we will make America great again.”

Polling stations will open their doors for in-person voting on Tuesday, but just over 95 million people across the country have already voted early, according to the US University of Florida Election Project, which is a base. of data that tracks participation rates. Vote. This record constituted 69 percent of all eligible participants in the 2016 elections.

The unprecedented number of early voting is due in large part to concerns about the emerging coronavirus pandemic and the need to maintain social distancing on Election Day. This paves the way for what is expected to be the largest turnout in modern history, one day before the official vote.

In fact, some states, such as Florida and Louisiana, ended early personal voting the week before the election, but some states chose to end early personal voting the day before the election.