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It seems that the fate of the country, the life and the future of the Lebanese people do not amount to a single ministerial portfolio for Lebanese officials. Despite the specter of hunger creeping into the overwhelming majority of Lebanese, and despite continued closures and the high pace of institutions and factories, the huge increase in the level of unemployment, and the hidden immigration of young women and men, the political battering rams The government is stepping up and taking a terrifying turn towards the possibility of things getting out of its head, amid a regional and international scenario that does not bode well at all levels, where Lebanon seems to have abandoned its fate after the French initiative made news, although some Lebanese politicians suggest that the initiative is still fresh on it, and it is still possible to come up with a combination of government with internal understanding and Parisian patronage.
It goes without saying that if the authorization contract were purely internal, the formation of a government would not require thirteen meetings between the President of the Republic and the designated President, since there are political and sectarian equations from which everyone realizes that no one can deviate. of them, so that no political right can be achieved except the rule followed since independence, which is based on understanding and understanding, and taking into account the sectarian and sectarian factor. And since the authorship process took this period of time, this means that there are external factors that pressure to hinder this process or at least stop it pending the occurrence of some developments or the transfer of some benefits at the regional and international level.
It is no secret to say that the US administration is very upset with Lebanon for not responding to its demands, either in terms of demarcation of the maritime borders according to its vision and in a way that serves Israel, or in terms of maintaining a Hezbollah away from any combination of governments, is still working to exert pressure. That prevents the future administration from seeing the light before President Trump hands over the keys to the White House to his successor, President Joe Biden, without implying that the birth of the government could take place as soon as the Biden administration takes over. the reins of power in the United States. This is due to interlocking internal factors, the main of which is the loss of trust or the required chemistry between the President of the Republic, General Michel Aoun, and Prime Minister Saad Hariri. Perhaps the meetings that the Maronite Patriarch Cardinal Bishara Boutros Al-Rahi held in Bkerke or in the Republican Palace, which took place at his request, arise in the context of restoring trust between the two presidents and coming up with certain ideas that can help relieve existing tension and bring closer the distances between Baabda. And the “House of the Center”, and the Patriarch embarked on this movement after he sensed the danger that the region would embark on major developments, while the internal Lebanese house is still dispersed, and this may make him pay the price of the new map that draws the Middle East region, and the Maronite Patriarch has more Their meetings consisted of reiterating the need to exchange concessions, knowing the certainty that each party would take root in its positions, it will not push things towards an understanding about the formation government, but will complicate them.
Do the successive meetings in the Baabda Palace give the Lebanese a Christmas present?
And if “Sayed Bkerke” has managed to reheat the line of meetings between Presidents Aoun and Hariri, this does not mean in any case that there is something new that could lead the two parties to agree and accelerate the formation of the government, from the last hours that followed Patriarch Al-Rahi’s move. No data were taken that indicate the possibility of an understanding that is close to composition, and that the meetings that are taking place continue to take place in the orbit of attempts, neither more nor less, since there is no new basis from which to start, which in its content and content is different from the base on which it has been working since Prime Minister Hariri was appointed. The matter of forming a government.
In a follow-up to the belief in political circles that the author’s contract remains stagnant with some flexibility, the president’s team still sticks to the nomination of the seven Christian ministers and, in return, Prime Minister Hariri, who is very resentful of the behavior of MP Gebran Bassil, he is not prepared to fully accept the conditions. President Aoun considers these to be the conditions of the “pact”. At the end of last week, the president-designate spoke with some of the visitors to the “House of Wasat” who was surprised at how he agreed with the President of the Republic on some points, and as soon as he leaves the Baabda palace , Deputy Basil meets with the President of the Republic. Everything agreed is shattered, and adds to that, saying: “The main problem in the complexity of the authorship process lies in Bassil’s behavior as the authority that prohibits this file and other files, and this complicates things even more, emphasizing that he will do everything possible to form a government that saves the country.
According to sources, Prime Minister Hariri fears how the outside world will deal with his government should the US veto continue to be imposed on the issue of Hezbollah’s involvement, as he knows the impossibility of forming a government from which he is excluded. a large part of the Lebanese who have their parliamentary weight in the streets.
Hence, the sources that attach great importance to what Prime Minister Hariri said yesterday when he left the Baabda Palace in terms of understanding that successive meetings will be held this week, see that the nodes in the path of composition are internal and this is subject to dismantling, but its essence is external to the US-Iranian conflict. This raises the fear that it will not be possible to compose during the remaining days of this year.
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