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Lebanese President Michel Aoun threw the ball in the court of the parliamentary blocs, and called on them to assume responsibility for their elections, in a position he announced on the eve of the parliamentary consultations scheduled for tomorrow Thursday, to appoint the president in charge. to form the new government.
While the Lebanese awaited the content of his speech, Aoun made several signals. The most prominent of them was not to postpone the date of the consultations, as happened on Wednesday, October 14, when he affirmed his responsibility to assign and form the government, and “in all constitutional positions and positions, in front of all those who prevent our people and the state reform, “according to Aoun.
And again, President Aoun recalled his trajectory in political work since he was expelled to France, saying: “When I carried out the project of change and reform in an attempt to save the homeland, the affected people raised the barricades in the face”.
In an implicit reference to Prime Minister Saad Hariri and some parties that participated in previous governments, Aoun held successive authorities accountable for corruption in a series of headlines in his issue, asking: “Where does the judiciary come from the power of the powerful? ? “
Aoun called on the deputies to arbitrate their consciences, recalling the first anniversary of the protests of October 17, 2019, and “the signs of the anger of the citizens, and that they raised the slogan” everyone means everyone “included the good and the bad of us, according to Aoun.
Saad Hariri: pledged to implement the necessary reforms in the French initiative (Anatolia)Hariri is waiting
Meanwhile, Hariri, who is the only candidate, is waiting to be assigned to form a government, after confirming his intention to work on the implementation of the reforms required in the French initiative, given the continuous disagreement between him and the Free Patriotic Movement headed by Gebran Bassil, but whatever government formula Aoun can accept. After launching his series of charges?
Antoine Constantine, advisor to the head of the Free Patriotic Movement, Gebran Bassil, starts from the words of President Aoun, describing it as a process of openness and frankness towards the Lebanese people, to say that the course of political life in Lebanon during his reign he witnessed the obstruction of every reform attempt he proposed.
Constantine indicates, in a statement to Al-Jazeera Net, that Aoun’s words were positive, despite their painful content, “but he wanted to pay to seize a real opportunity for reform with the remaining two years of his reign.”
Constantine believes that the questions posed by Aoun about the corruption file knows his answers in advance, and “through them he wanted to revive the memory of the Lebanese towards the political forces, presenting a set of crises that he seeks to resolve as president of the country, in line with the content of the reforms required in the French initiative document “. .
Constantine believes that Aoun, from the questions and problems he raised, determined the identity and role of the government required to undertake the task of reform and elimination of corruption.
It was noted in Aoun’s speech that he asked questions that he described as fateful and unavoidable about Lebanon’s position and its role in conflicts in the region. Therefore, political analyst Ghassan Jawad (who is close to Hezbollah) believes that the president wanted to address Lebanon’s impact on the regional transformations that surround it, and is likely to correct it in the way of developing relations between some Arab Gulf states and Israel and the ongoing normalization processes that place Lebanon in an embarrassing position it may have. Important implications.
In this sense, Jawad considers in a statement to Al-Jazeera Net that the path of government formation will be difficult, and “the door can be opened not only to a government crisis, but to a complete governance crisis.”
Jawad believes that Aoun wanted, in the files he kept, to draft a ministerial declaration and preserve his constitutional right to remain at the head of the government formation process.
Basilio and Hezbollah
In practice, Aoun’s speech did not change the position of Bassil and his political team, who refuse to name Hariri. As a result, Hariri will lose the votes of the largest Christian bloc in Parliament, along with the votes of the “Lebanese Forces” party, which also refuses to appoint Hariri, but is in constant conflict with Bassil.
Commenting on Bassil’s position, Constantine said: “We are the most visible political force in Lebanon and we adhere to the unity of the standard. The postponement of the consultations did not change our position from rejecting Hariri’s nomination, because we are committed to a government of specialists, with qualities that Prime Minister Hariri does not embody. “
On the other hand, Hezbollah has not yet issued an official position regarding Hariri’s assignment to form the government, although its ally, the Speaker of Parliament and leader of the Amal Movement, Nabih Berri, announced their intention to appoint Hariri.
Ghassan Jawad indicates that Hezbollah still adheres to two points in the government formation process: form and content, as it did during Mustafa Adeeb’s tenure; In the form – and according to Jawad – Hezbollah still clings to the money bag and appoints Shiite ministers, and “it seems that this issue has been agreed between Hariri and Hezbollah.”
Regarding the content, Jawad said that Hezbollah announced the approval of the content of the French initiative, with the exception of 10%, which is being discussed with Hariri, and deals with the files of “privatization, taxes and the International Monetary Fund” .
Conditional cooperation
Jawad added that the party wants to take guarantees from Hariri regarding the International Monetary Fund, so it does not refuse to cooperate with him, but without establishing political conditions, and “will not agree to hand over to the country in a white paper under the pretext of a reform”.
Indeed, it appears that assigning Hariri votes that cannot exceed half the votes of the Lebanese Parliament, which consists of 128 MPs, heralds a new crisis during the composition process.
However, the deputy of the “Future” parliamentary bloc, Muhammad al-Hajjar, considers that Hariri will constitutionally win the mandate after obtaining the majority of votes, and without the presence of another candidate on his side.
While future representatives refuse to comment on Aoun’s speech, Hajjar points out in a statement to Al-Jazeera Net that Hariri is the only person authorized to carry out the rescue mission, in the absence of another candidate who accepts responsibility for saving. Lebanon based on the conditions of the French initiative.
Al-Hajjar considers that the most important thing is to carry out constitutional law in binding consultations in the Republican Palace, and confirms that Hariri does not give guarantees to any political party that contradicts international conditions and the French initiative, according to Al-Hajjar.
He said: “We face a final and golden opportunity with Hariri, who intends to form a major government to save the country. Otherwise, Lebanon’s fate will be hell, chaos and ruin.”
In another context, former MP Fares Saeed believes that President Aoun, who was unable to obstruct Hariri’s appointment, wanted from his speech to consolidate an equation in which he wanted a net association to form the government to the point of obstructing if he did not like it. Hariri’s formation. Saeed is unlikely to accomplish his mission easily.
He tells Al-Jazeera Net that Lebanon, after consultations, may enter a new crisis if the dispute between Hariri and Aoun intensifies, who will not accept its absence from the process of drafting and selecting ministers. He said: “Hezbollah in this case will stand by and watch the two sides take advantage of lost time, until everyone realizes that the crisis in Lebanon is neither political nor internal, but rather a crisis of a system that not suitable to continue. “
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