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Contrary to his behavior, policies and positions prior to his election as president and during his time in Baabda, President Michel Aoun tweeted today, saying: “A strong state can be ruled by powerful or ordinary rulers, but they respect the constitution and abide by the laws, and therefore the force of the state.
The weak state is definitely ruled by the strong, but they do not value the constitution and ignore the laws, so they become stronger and the state becomes weaker. “
Along these lines, the theory of a “strong boss” has been turned upside down. Aoun “woke up” to the idea of a strong state with its constitution, regardless of whether the ruler is strong or ordinary.
Date and expiration
On Aoun’s new orientation when referring to the constitution, President Michel Aoun called for binding parliamentary consultations to assign a person to form the government on Thursday, October 15. It is one of the rare occasions when a president of the republic sets a date for consultations within a week. Generally, a maximum of three days elapsed between the announcement of the invitation and the date of the consultations. Only the 2011 “black shirts” experiment imposed a one-week delay in consultations. In the timid contacts that were taking place in the hours before Aoun directed his call, there were wishes for political consultations to agree on the name of the president who will be assigned, but Aoun chose to send the invitation, after trying to take the pulse of the blocs and political forces, if they were ready to fulfill their call. To make such inquiries. He did not feel any seriousness or acceptance, so he chose to put everyone before this right.
Therefore, Aoun wanted to shame the various political forces by calling for binding parliamentary consultations. You don’t want to keep the disable ball. In accordance with the constitution, he extended the invitation and allowed a period of one week to put the political forces in front of the merit of the agreement, and in case they did not agree on the name of the designated president, he would have absolved their responsibility before the Lebanese and before the international community, on the basis that it had done what was demanded of it, while the parliamentary blocs failed to appoint a prime minister. This step would also embarrass the former prime ministers, so what would your stance be? Will they choose a character to support? Or will they not repeat Mustafa Adib’s experience? Or they are directed to choose one of them, in light of the information that the options are diminishing, to two options: Saad Hariri or Najib Mikati.
Washington and Paris
The consultations coincide with the beginning of the negotiations on the maritime borders, and with the arrival of the US Undersecretary of State, David Schenker, who is supposed to have a comprehensive position on the Lebanese situation. Paris will not be far from the trajectory and heat of the political movement, which will be relaunched once the date of the consultations has been set. Communications will be activated and intensified locally and internationally under the influence of great pressure, to formulate a governance formula. It is estimated that the expected government could stay two years. And since he is supposed to be the overseer of the border demarcation process, he will be in the best interest of Hezbollah, focusing on all the details of its formation and composition.
The ball was thrown into the court of political forces, specifically in the rank of former prime ministers, and what they would decide. Will they agree to the name of someone from outside or support a club member? The measure will increase their confusion and differences, while the real direction of the same can be understood from the words of Hariri on Thursday, who – according to the information – will announce his commitment to the French initiative, that is, the formation of a government of specialists and not a techno-political government. While other political forces are interacting with Mikati’s proposal by forming a techno-political government. It is the preferred option for Hezbollah and spokesman Nabih Berri. While he is seriously proposing Mikati to take over as prime minister on his initiative, the data indicates that neither Aoun nor Hezbollah supports him. In the last meeting between the French ambassador, Bruno Fuchs, and the foreign relations official in Hezbollah, Ammar al-Mousawi, the latter reiterated his party’s adherence to Hariri’s nomination to form a government, in accordance with the French initiative, with amendments thereto on the form of government. That is, Hezbollah wants a government according to the formula of Najib Mikati, but headed by Saad Hariri.
Critical reality
Many contacts and consultations will take place from today until next Thursday. The possibilities are multiple. Either the person appointed by the designated prime minister has been agreed, so it is Tina Hassan Diab and Mustafa Adeeb, or a member of the former Prime Minister’s Club is chosen, or the blocs do not make a decisive decision, and the consultations are lose as the current loss situation, and no access is reached. calendar. It does not lead to the appointment of a president to form a government, and consultations are postponed again until there is consensus.
In such cases, many surprises can occur, in a reality that is very embarrassing for almost powerless political forces, and they may be forced to appoint a new character for the formation, with all the possibilities that are presented, similar to devising a personality like naming. to Hassan Diab in the last hours, which preceded Consultation appointment.
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