Russian dissatisfaction with the lion … Is it time to topple?



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Recent events and strong messages that Moscow sent to President Bashar al-Assad’s regime have changed the characteristics of positions that Moscow has long held, and indicate that the Kremlin’s patience is wearing thin on Assad’s actions, which a Russian report described it as a burden on Russia tomorrow.

However, opinions differed in Russia on this issue, especially after recently leaked data, on efforts to reach a Russian-Turkish-Iranian deal to overthrow Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad, so how do the Russians see it? Bashar Al-Assad’s future?

The deal on the overthrow of the Syrian president began circulating a while ago, and was reinforced by a strong campaign in Russian newspapers that led to harsh criticism of the Syrian regime, describing it as weak and unpopular, and was no longer able to resolve the situation, thus such as publishing reports and opinion polls conducted by a Russian agency, indicating an escalation of complaints. In Syria, Assad’s popularity has deteriorated to unprecedented levels.

The “Federal News Agency” that published these reports is owned by Russian businessman Evgeny Prigogin, famous for chef Putin, and very close to Russian decision makers, but it is interesting that the attack is related to talking about corruption cases.

The report evaluated the economic situation in Syria currently very negative, indicating that the corrupt class in Syria hinders the high level of economic and trade cooperation between Moscow and Damascus, to be at the same level of political coordination.

Under the title: “How does the Syrian government affect the country’s problems?”, The report lied about allegations by the Syrian Ministry of Petroleum and Mineral Resources, that several gas wells in the Hayan and Al-Shaer fields They stopped working due to the security situation in the Badia region, to justify the increase in hours of power outages.

While a report entitled “Corruption is worse than terrorism” concluded that what hinders Russian actions in Syria is that the regime did not “create all the necessary conditions for Russian actions,” despite continued Russian support.

At the same time, according to experts familiar with the fact that Moscow’s permission to publish these data constitutes a strong and direct message for Assad, others were reluctant to give an assessment suggesting Russia’s move to the Syrian president, noting the existence of a Russian “complaint”, but did not reach the stage of boycotting or seeking other options. In Syria

Moscow had previously sent messages to Damascus, which emerged through articles published in government media, asking Assad to launch a broad and swift reform movement before “it was too late”, and some of them felt that the popularity of Assad is currently no more than 20%. This means that the recent campaign has become an indication of the Kremlin’s growing resentment, because Damascus “long ignored” the Russian council on reform and the economy.

Alexander Shomelin, director of the Middle East Conflict Analysis Center, told Araby Post about the Russian-Iranian conflict of interest in Syria, stressing that the scenario of the Russian-Iranian agreement to eliminate Assad is exaggerated, and that it was one of the scenarios previously proposed by Russian experts, and that The Russian media campaign against Assad for many reasons, including: The presence of evidence on the Russian side that the Syrian regime deals with ISIS as it does not adhere to political agreements with the Russian side, and the implementation of the Iranian agenda that conflicts with Russian interests.

He added that the war in Syria is about to end, and that the main conflicting parties there are time to divide the pie, and Shomelin added that there is an informed source who visited Tehran, informing him that the Iranians do not trust the Russians, and which have become unreliable to them, due to the Russian-American-Israeli agreement on security coordination. In Syria and the removal of the Iranians from the scene, and that Russia will be the alternative to the United States to protect Israel in the Middle East, and that what bothers the Russians is also that the Iranians are penetrated in all aspects of the Syrian state and in major decision-making centers, but have even created groups like Hezbollah.

Shomelin emphasized that Russian media reports indicate that a Russian-Turkish agreement to remove Assad from the scene is largely correct, adding that there are discussions at the highest level by the Russian and Turkish authorities, and Ankara has emphasized more than once in Assad’s departure, but Tehran is the only obstacle in This scene, because he knows very well that Assad is the sole guarantor of it, so Syria remains a safe passage to supply its weapons to Hezbollah, But in the end, the main countries playing on the Syrian scene will be able to eliminate Assad.

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