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After Ambassador Mustafa Adib was assigned to form the government, things were going well according to the Pine Palace agreement and the vision of French President Emmanuel Macron, and everyone was providing facilities up to the limit of concessions so that the government could see. light, except for the sanctions imposed by the United States on aide to President Nabih Berri, the former finance minister. Deputy Ali Hassan Khalil and former Marada minister Yusef Fenianous shuffled the cards again and drove the withdrawal from the government training career back to baseline until Adib lost hope of being an author and apologized.
A few days ago, and after the fifth meeting between Presidents Michel Aoun and Saad Hariri, a climate of optimism prevailed regarding the imminent birth of the government, as the two presidents agreed on 18 ministers, and the names were quickly sought, and that Hariri will present a preliminary formula on his sixth visit to the Baabda Palace, which was delayed Wednesday to Friday, but occurred in the wake of a political earthquake that hit the Free Patriotic Movement, and its repercussions reached Baabda, represented by the imposition of US sanctions deputy Gebran Bassil, accusing him of corruption, waste, abuse of power and position, and his relationship with Hezbollah.
No two people will disagree that the US sanctions will lead to the undermining of the French initiative, and it may affect everything that has been agreed on the formation of the future government, especially since what preceded the sanctions against Basil will not It is as after, and that the dramatic developments would push the “Pact Team” and its allies to Impose new conditions and demand additional guarantees to facilitate the birth of the government, including the reactivation of the “blocker third” or a greater influence on the formation of the government, which could embarrass Prime Minister Saad Hariri, who had previously made concessions and retracted many of the principles and constants for which he was nominated.
It can be said that Prime Minister Hariri wanted since his visit to the Baabda Palace yesterday, after a two-day delay, to separate the consultations he maintains with President Aoun on the formation of the government, from the sanctions imposed on Gebran Bassil, and to suggest that the positive atmosphere was not affected by these events, but by the meeting that continued. Less than forty minutes, it gave the impression that the President of the Republic gave Hariri neither good nor evil, and that the repercussions of the sanctions on Bassil preceded Hariri as president of the Republic.
All the data indicates that the sanctions will negatively affect the consultations to form a government, and that Hariri will find himself before him with more demands and conditions that contradict his orientations, which puts him before three options:
First: Hariri works to form his government independently of the US sanctions on Bassil and to present its final form to the President of the Republic, and thus put it before the fait accompli. Either you sign their decrees or request some minor adjustments that are possible, or you reject it and hold yourself accountable to the Lebanese.
Second: for Hariri to apologize, turn the situation on everyone’s face and go back to what it was before the assignment.
Third: That he stick to the assignment and commit to the i’tikaf until, God willing, until his mission is facilitated.
In all cases, observers hope the government vacuum will drag on and authorization inquiries will freeze until the white thread of the black thread clears from the results of the US elections, and until Prime Minister Hariri! identify one of the three options available to him!
