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You may have hoped that there are now indicators that determine the outcome of the US presidential election.
Who will be the next president of the United States?
We don’t know, because there have not yet been enough votes for Donald Trump or Joe Biden for either of them to declare victory.
Given the time it takes to count the large number of mailed votes cast during these elections overshadowed by the Corona epidemic, it can actually take days to announce the result.
If there are legal objections to the results, it could take weeks. And things can get complicated.
Isn’t there even a clue?
To become president, you don’t really need to win the popular vote. Instead, the candidate must obtain a majority in a system known as the Electoral College, in which each state obtains a certain number of votes or “electors” roughly proportional to its population.
So if this state wins, you win (except for Nebraska and Maine which is tricky).
The electoral college has a total of 538 votes, and the winner must obtain 270 of them to become president.
Therefore, despite the high turnout this time around, voters in some major states will decide the outcome of the election.
- Biden and Trump are expected to win the states they were expected to win comfortably
- The two contestants are still very close in some crucial competitive states.
- In some of these highly convergent states, officials have yet to count the votes in the mail, and that could change everything.
Let’s take a look at some of these cases.
Florida: Donald Trump is expected to win it, as there are many signs of support from Cuban Americans in Miami-Dade County.
Arizona: The state has not voted for Democrats since 1996, but it appears to be a potential asset for Biden, who sought to win the votes of young, progressive Latinos living there.
Wisconsin and Pennsylvania: These two states have yet to begin counting votes received by mail, and that can take days.
But what happened overnight on a line?
Donald Trump is doing better than expected, as for Joe Biden, he failed to win the states where the battle is taking place, which are counting the votes quickly, and this means more confusion and uncertainty pending the results of some states important.
Joe Biden addressed his fans, saying “We are on the road to victory,” but urged them to be patient.
Donald Trump said in a later tweet: “We have overcome too much, but they are trying to steal the election.” Twitter indicated that the tweet may be misleading. The Trump campaign said this was censorship.
There were some important moments, but most are in the other elections that take place, as the control of the Senate remains unresolved:
Sen. Lindsay Graham, a Trump ally, is expected to beat Democratic challenger Jamie Harrison in South Carolina, a race that at one point looked like she could lose.
Republican Marjorie Taylor Green, the first advocate for the conspiracy theory group KYO Nanan, won a seat in Congress, unopposed.
And in the race to win control of the Senate, the Democrats lost Alabama, their most vulnerable seat, but they got Colorado from the Republicans.
Arizona and New Jersey voted to legalize marijuana for personal use.
The United States became the most officially elected transgender person after Sarah McBride was elected to a seat in the Delaware legislature.
What is the situation now?
We may not know for days. This appears to be the most likely scenario because this battle will turn into mailed votes, which have yet to be counted in places like Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.
Lawyers can intervene. Donald Trump has previously said that he would file legal appeals if the result was close. This means that it will probably take weeks for the result to be announced.
But will uncertainty cause riots? There will certainly be confusion, and while several Americans have spoken of concerns, it is too early to say there will be major riots.