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The division of the people of a line.
This historical event came full of paradoxes, since it generated a “coldness” among people of the same political line, specifically between the Shiite duo and the presidency of the republic, which was translated into a joint opposition statement issued by the party and the movement. The Lebanese delegation, made up of the military and a civilian (who is a member of the Petroleum Administration), was found to be in violation of the agreement. Because it damages Lebanon’s position and represents a recognition of the Israeli logic that wishes to obtain any form of normalization.
Recognition of Israel
Similarly, political researcher Dr. Makram Rabah told Al-Arabiya that the formalities that the Shiite duo oppose, specifically Hezbollah, are nothing more than face-saving after its recognition of Israel and its acceptance. of negotiations with him.
This formal objection, as Saeed and Rabah described it, was put by sources close to the Amal movement in the category of “cutting off the Israeli road to political gain.” What is important to us is the unity of the internal position at this historical moment to preserve our rights and not political investment.
He denied knowing the reasons and antecedents for Aoun’s insistence on including a civilian figure in the negotiating military delegation. However, he hinted, on the other hand, that the delegation could be modified in the second round after two weeks to be “exclusively” military.
Is Iran negotiating with the United States?
In the context, Saeed considered that “the demarcation confirms that Iran has entered into negotiations with the United States of America and that it has asked the Lebanese parties to adhere to its interest in reserving a seat for it for dialogue with the new US administration” .
“The demarcation is an Iranian decision to implement a Lebanese one, aimed at improving the conditions for Iran’s negotiations with the new US administration, regardless of the identity of the next president,” he said.
The Wand of Punishment does its job
For his part, Rabah considered that “the American” has “triumphed” through the policy of the sanctions stick that he raises over the heads of Iran, Hezbollah and their allies to win the border demarcation file, in addition to Israel, which it was launching air strikes against military centers of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard and Hezbollah in Syria. .
Payment on account
In turn, the director of the “East Institute for Strategic Affairs”, Sami Nader, told Al-Arabiya that the demarcation negotiations are a boost in Tehran’s account of Washington under the pressure of sanctions, and that he has established new rules of engagement with the United States through demarcation.
Nader also considered that “the framework agreement weakens Hezbollah’s narrative on not recognizing Israel and the resistance and liberating Jerusalem, because by negotiating with Israel, even indirectly, it recognized it as a state.”
Perhaps most importantly in the demarcation negotiations, according to Nader, “will confirm the importance of international decisions with the signing of Hezbollah.”
Gas pipelines
The Lebanese are counting on ending the border dispute so that the state can benefit from the natural wealth agreement in the disputed economic zone with Israel, which amounts to about 856 square kilometers of water.
In addition, Nader believed that “demarcation negotiations are the mandatory step for oil extraction, since Lebanon cannot benefit from gas pipelines to market its stocks if the demarcation agreement with Israel is not resolved, so it is not possible to go to the International Monetary Fund and sign a rescue program with it before tackling the border dispute. “
For his part, the international oil expert, Rudi Baroudi, told Al-Arabiya.net, “The Lebanese position is strong with negotiations and armed with laws, because unlike Israel, it is a signatory to the United Nations Convention on the Laws of the Sea “.
He also indicated that “Lebanon’s share of gas will be greater than 70% and, once the negotiations are completed, Lebanon will be able to demarcate the three border points between it and Israel and Cyprus.”
Source: Arabic
