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Berry’s advice
If Hariri accepts his assignment according to the information available at this time, then he will win votes, the Future Bloc, the Marada Movement, President Najib Mikati and his bloc, President Tammam Salam, the Development and Liberation Bloc and various independent representatives. , in addition to the Democratic Meeting Bloc if it manages to convince Walid Jumblatt. But then he will go to the compositional battle, in which many pitfalls await him, and he will be the subject of the tremendous extortion that Gebran Bassil had opened in his bazaar. In the event that it agrees to postpone the consultations, it will initiate a round of political consultations, not parliamentary, with the forces and blocks in order to provide the conditions and elements of understanding.
Bassil’s position was clear: the path to the prime minister passes through us. Basilio armed with the Christian Letter and the signature of the President of the Republic. When Hariri met Prime Minister Nabih Berri, the Speaker of Parliament told him: “You must have meetings with three political forces, Hezbollah, Walid Jumblatt and Gebran Bassil. The issue has nothing to do with ‘love’ or lack Rather, it is what the political game dictates. Hariri avoided holding these types of meetings, so as not to give the formation a political character, so he invented the method of sending a delegation from the Future Block to request opinions, in An attempt to pave your way
Jumblatt’s “objection” and the encounter with Hebron
The first response came from Walid Jumblatt, who refused to deal with him. Jumblatt knows that Hariri will not be satisfied with his contact with the Free Patriotic Movement through the parliamentary delegation, and that there will be direct contact or encounter between them. Basil was clear in raising his roof. It was known that Hariri would meet with the political assistant to the Hezbollah secretary general, Hussein al-Khalil, away from the media. Jumblatt refused to receive the future delegation. Hariri took the initiative to open lines of communication and find a solution to the problem by persuading Jumblatt to receive the delegation in exchange for a telephone meeting between them. But the latter refused, while Hariri justified his position that he did not want to have a meeting with any politician so as not to meet Basil.
A relatively long meeting between Hariri and Hussein al-Khalil was held on Tuesday evening, during which Hariri’s initiative was reviewed and a way out was sought to form a government headed by him. Hariri asked about the extent of Hezbollah’s commitment to the French initiative, and the response was quick and obvious that the party was the first to welcome him. Hebron repeated the position of Deputy Mohamed Raad before French President Emmanuel Macron, that is, the approval of 90 percent of the document, while 10 percent needs to be discussed and investigated thoroughly because they are public affairs. These relate to the terms of the Monetary Fund and the economic plan and its details.
Hariri demanded exceptional governmental powers, which Hebron was quick to reject outright. He renewed the position of the party and the Amal movement by joining the Ministry of Finance and appointing the Shiite ministers.
In any case, Hariri gave way to new negotiations, and did not close the door, but the two sides maintained their position.
Slim chances
They all threw the ball back on Hariri’s court. He is the owner of the choice and the one who makes the decisions. In the event that the allocation is satisfied with a small number of votes, and without the votes of the main Christian blocs, that is, the forces and the current, it will be completely chained to Hezbollah. Note that the authorization negotiations will require that you meet with Basilio to obtain the confidence of the Council and the signature of the President of the Republic. In the event that it obtains the votes of the “strong Lebanon” bloc, this means that negotiations have taken place between the two sides and a new understanding has been woven.
Amid all these bleak possibilities, Hariri has a choice that turns the table, either by announcing the retreat or by blaming the blocks that obstructed again. Or he accepts the assignment and then works to form a government as he wants, without receiving names from the political forces, and he takes it to the Republican Palace, then presents it to Aoun, who will reject it. Then he goes out and announces what he has and holds those who obstructed him fully accountable. With this step, you will be able to recover your image, presence and powers, politically and morally.
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