Jumblatt: Pre-Round Indicators



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It is the clearest and most volatile, and they describe it as “antenna”, that is, it captures future transformations. Here is Walid Jumblatt, albeit in a reduced form.

Yesterday, Jumblatt appeared in a lengthy dialogue with the Lebanese television station Al-Jadeed, and with his appearance, Jumblatt revealed:

Wide discord with Saad Hariri.

Unlimited fears that Lebanon will go to arms.

His close relationship with Nabih Berri.

This comes at a time when perhaps Lebanon is in greatest need of Walid Jumblatt’s (shortcomings). Lebanon today needs an agreement on the minimum level, without scaling to the upper limit, so Saad Hariri, and went to ministerial consultations, perhaps (and on information), relied on the position A French supporter of Lebanon to save to the country of his disappearance, in the words of the French Foreign Minister, Saad Hariri and President Macron, recognize the “curse of Hezbollah”, while accepting coexistence with him temporarily until the Lebanese fires are put out, and we want to say:

– The fires of the economy, the fires of depositors, the fires of civil society, which can leave the squares of protest to the arenas of chaos, including assassinations, kidnappings, robberies, prostitution and even weapons.

The French are really determined to mobilize the international community to support Lebanon. Everything indicates that and the stubbornness of the French president in continuing with his initiative is the greatest proof, although all the information says that he received from Muhammad Raad, the representative of Hizbullah in the meeting with Al-Sanawbar, and the insolence and kindness of Hezbollah. The Lebanese, according to the French today, cannot afford to go to what is broader than consensus at its highest level, with the aim of preventing Lebanon from reaching disaster at its highest limit, and this must and requires giving around corners, and the French seem to be relying on Hariri’s ability to turn corners through international aid, first French and later. Gulf, and without what an American prevents.

Jumblatt’s attack on Hariri, describing Hariri as “responsible for himself”, may become a serious and solid obstacle to Hariri’s ability to form a Lebanese ministry, and it is clear from Jumblatt’s words that he is launching this attack from two dimensions:

A sectarian dimension, and it is limited to the Druze part of the expected ministry.

After my staff, Hariri did not consult him, but sent a delegation to consult him, and (Jumblatt did not receive the delegation).

Both reasons come to a minimum, requiring an alignment of the forces of March 14 that have disintegrated and splintered, while the Shiite duo strengthens, and this is the reason that afflicted the Lebanese, so there is only one political body left, ally and coherent, which is the Shiite duo with its attachment, the Aoun group.

Avoiding cabinet formation today means laying the groundwork for Hezbollah and the Amal movement, and only they hold their street while holding weapons, while the opposing team may be in the worst situation, and leaving the arena for the Shiite duo is a scenario. which may be open to settlements that are unfavorable to the March 14 forces. (Only his name remained), and what Jumblatt’s position announced was nothing more than the position of a man standing by the river bank, waiting for the bodies of his friends to pass, only to turn around as usual.

Saad al-Harir, Roosevelt, it is not Lebanon, and this is a fact, but today, is he the only one who can find a common Lebanese denominator that coexists with Hezbollah?

Yes.

Because any battle with Hezbollah today will only take the arena that this party of arms wants.

The French know the story, as well as the Gulf group, and they both look for something in Lebanon and not everything, and that is political pragmatism.

Rather political rationality.

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