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With the emerging virus “Corona” becoming a global pandemic and the effects that follow at all levels and levels around the world, experts and academics from various political, economic and sociological sciences have raised many questions about the possibility of this pandemic change the shape of the current global system.
US Foreign Policy explained in a report that the best politicians can do is avoid the “myths” that hamper their thinking and examine alternatives that help them focus on the most important questions, noting that it is helpful to structure thinking about politics. and their sciences in a way that enables leaders to learn from mistakes. So are the successes.
He indicated that when assessing the effects of the current pandemic, the scope and duration of the economic shocks that the epidemic may cause must not yet be clear and, therefore, any estimate of the return of economic recovery will be complicated by dependency. of the economies of our uncertain human effectiveness in controlling the virus.
Learning “fairy tale” from history
The report believes that lessons from the past can sometimes be helpful, but at other times they should not be taken into account because they can be misleading. There is still a difference as to whether Athena lost the war with Sparta due to the plague that devastated the city, and it cannot be said whether it was the pandemic that struck Europe in the 14th century that led to the end of feudalism after the death of more than a third of the population of the old continent.
About a century ago, the Spanish flu killed about 50 million people, more than twice the number of victims of the First World War. However, political scientists note that the most prominent changes that the world order later witnessed can be traced back to other historical events such as the rise of the Bolshevik communist revolution in Russia and the rise of fascism in Russia. Europe.
Epidemics … and the “myth” of great changes
In its report, Foreign Policy called for avoiding the “myth” that epidemics are always historical turning points, and said that people incorrectly assume that big events like epidemics must always have big effects, but the example of the “flu Spanish “denies it.
The report concluded that even if the epidemic had major effects within the United States, all of these effects would not lead to geopolitical change, adding: “. Also, local political reforms without any change in foreign policy.
