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Iran faces a real dilemma in the conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia over the Nagorno Karabakh border region, following its inconsistent position on events in the two countries that have land borders with Tehran.
According to a report published by Al-Monitor, decision-makers in Tehran depend on time to find a solution that will save them from the desire to take sides, as defending one side without the other in this conflict will have bitter repercussions.
In the event that Tehran decides to support Armenia, the internal repercussions will not be easy, in a country where millions of residents return to the Azerbaijani race, in addition to the blow that Iran’s relationship with Azerbaijan will give, the country that shares the Shiite sect. with Tehran, and more than 400 miles of Land Borders.
Tehran’s support for Yerevan also gives Israel, which sells weapons to Baku, additional leverage over Iran’s borders, at a time when Israel was able to sign a peace treaty with the United Arab Emirates and declare its support for peace. with Bahrain on the other side of the Persian Gulf.
Armenia shares nearly 27 miles of border with the Persian state and plays a positive role as the country’s only Christian neighbor to be hit by the sanctions.
The official Iranian position, which has been expressed by the Foreign Ministry on several occasions, is to ask the parties to show restraint and offer to mediate.
“Iran has prepared a plan with a specific framework containing details after consultations with the parties to the conflict, as well as with the countries of the region and neighboring countries, and will follow this plan,” the spokesman for the Ministry of Defense told Reuters. Iranian Foreign Relations Saeed Khatibzadeh earlier this week.
Russia announced on Saturday that a ceasefire agreement had been reached between Baku and Yerevan in Karabakh, following consultations between the two countries’ foreign ministers in Moscow.
Although Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, who is ethnic Azerbaijani, did not comment on this issue, several of his representatives in northwestern Iran issued a statement declaring their support for Azerbaijan.
In the northern Iranian city of Tabriz, dozens of Iranian Azeris took to the streets to condemn the state’s neutral stance on the war, while others demonstrated in Tehran chanting slogans in support of the Azerbaijani army.
The Armenian-Azerbaijani rivalry is expected to spread outside Iran for many reasons, and this is what Tehran hopes to send troops to the border areas, making the promise of stability that the Iranian regime has always made to justify its involvement in Distant conflicts, such as Syria and Iraq, are now under threat.
In 1994, Tehran mediated between the two newly created countries after the dissolution of the Soviet Union, although it sided with Azerbaijan.
According to a report issued by the Levant News of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Iran has facilitated the transfer of hundreds of Afghan fighters to Azerbaijan to fight alongside the government of the late President Heydar Aliyev, father of current President Ilham Aliyev, but the Tehran alliance- Baku ended in less than two years.
Iran has become more on the side of Armenia due to political differences with Aliyev, however, Iranian volunteers continue to flock to Azerbaijan to fight alongside Azerbaijanis in the war with Armenia, as many Iranian fighters were killed and buried in various places around the war front.
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