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The political consultations in Lebanon have returned to the line of forming a government from a “revised version” of the French initiative that President Emmanuel Macron had previously launched and did not find its way to success, so it is likely that the search returns to a “technopolitical” government formula, according to sources close to the Presidency of the Republic. At a time when the President of Parliament, Nabih Berri, renewed his adherence to the initiative, considering that the most important thing remains to agree on the name of a prime minister.
In context, Mustafa Alloush, the leader of the Future Movement, expected, in an interview with the electronic newspaper Al-Anbaa, that President Michel Aoun would set a date for binding parliamentary consultations after a week or two, because the delay is due a Corona and the quarantine imposed on some close to Baabda. And at the initiative of former Prime Minister Najib Mikati to form a “techno-political” government headed by Saad Hariri, Alloush considered that “these are among the ideas that circulate, but Hariri’s response was a condition for adhering to the French initiative”, highlighting that “So far they have not been asked.” Something like that. “
In the event that Hariri is asked to head the government, Alloush said: “Hariri did not withdraw his terms except in the case of forming a techno-political government that is predominantly technical.”
Sources told Asharq Al-Awsat: “The meeting of President Aoun and Berri during their trip to Kuwait to offer their condolences to Prince Sheikh Sabah Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah earlier in the week will constitute an occasion for talk about the government file that still requires more consultations, noting that this The meeting may lead to the activation of the training process, so the date of the parliamentary consultations will be set in the second half of next week.
Presidential consultations may address former President Najib Mikati’s proposal to form a techno-political government of twenty ministers, including six political ministers representing the six major sects, with an indication that Saad Hariri is not interested in this proposal.
A concerned source told Al-Anbaa that government winds are not far from the path of Man of Determination Trabelsi, but from now on to elements of Iranian-American understandings that can be extrapolated into Lebanese developments that are flexible, it appears that the “duo” does not want a government at this time. Because he prefers to keep the interim government headed by Hassan Diab until after the position has been cleared from the US presidential elections, as evidenced by what happened regarding the demarcation of the borders with “Israel”, which confirmed that Tehran, that is moving the compass of this pair, prefers to negotiate with the United States, not with France, and therefore its political concession in these negotiations to the United States, not to France, because the reward for the concession to Washington is greater and more effective, the least of which is the easing of sanctions against Iran.
The sources pointed out that “after Mustafa Adib’s experience, who was evaluated by the President of the Republic and the different parties, and who did not find his way to success, it seems that the rapprochement has become a government technopolitical that brings together specialists and politicians, a formula of which he has always been convinced and pushes for President Aoun. The sources emphasized that “lessons must be learned from Adeeb’s experience, which is the basis of discussions between the parties and President Aoun, who evaluated the experience realistically and objectively, and his action next week will be based on this evaluation. “
A new government may be formed in a few weeks, which will not be formed before the US presidential elections and will never be born until the dust of the conflict between Washington and Tehran has settled.
3 Scenarios No one in Beirut has the ability to say which of them to accept Lebanon is caught between the hammer of financial-economic suicide that is being pushed in light of the inability to provide the political umbrella that allows a landing with the least damage in the abyss, and between the anvil of massacring the remaining pillars of the state that is dissolving in He underestimated the great regional conflict, and the disruption of the governance mechanisms in it places him in front of a compensation based on: changes in the “operating system “through modifications under the roof of the Taif republic, or a change in the political system to equalize the” surplus of power “that Hezbollah surpasses the other Lebanese components. .
On the political front, the impression is perceived about the transformation of the French initiative that calls for the formation of an independent government that the political forces do not summon a “field of experiments” in light of the conclusions of its first version, which were doubled with the apology of Prime Minister-designate Mustafa Adib, without failing in his aims aimed at urging the Lebanese to launch a series of reforms through a variety A ministerial mission is also to “link in the cold” with the scenario of the great settlements, when the time comes.
Informed circles doubted the possibility of an imminent penetration into the government file, first in the absence of signs of alteration in Washington’s firmness in the path of “strangling” Hezbollah with sanctions and narrowing the margins of its use of institutions and the environment of corruption that consumes him to allow his control and control over decision-making joints and to feed his expanding military arm. In more than one scenario, and secondly, given the difficulty of envisioning any withdrawal of Lebanese forces in their rivalry with Hezbollah, or not allied with it, in the direction of surrendering to a government ruled by external rejection, and in Consequently, the general crisis in the country will deepen.
In this context, the proposal that is being discussed about a techno-political government of 20 ministers, including six politicians representing the six main sects and political forces, is being approached as a matter of more “time cuts” pending the result. of the American elections, while the circles perceive it that way. The proposal will be held captive by the same complications that aborted the attempt to incorporate the “government of 14 independent specialists” headed by Adib, specifically in terms of who he calls (the Shiite duo insisted on the Ministry of Finance as a matter of statutes and appoint to their ministers) and the need to take the opinion of the majority parliamentary blocs.
Attention will be drawn to the “flying withdrawal” scheduled for tomorrow between Presidents Michel Aoun, Nabih Berri and Diab during their transfer together to Kuwait to express their condolences to the late Emir Sheikh Sabah Al-Ahmad, especially after the negative signs that appeared. on the Aoun-Berri line after the latter assumed the announcement of the framework agreement on maritime demarcation and departure. The “lost affection” between the two men is back in the spotlight.
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