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French ambassador Bruno Foche did not exclude Hezbollah from his farewell visits, despite loud speeches from Emmanuel Macron. Something to be expected on the part of the representative of the State who “crushed” his political balance towards the suburb without reaping the fruits of his move so far.
However, the farewell meeting during which the antecedents of the fall of the French initiative by each side were discussed did not constitute a breach of the crisis wall that, according to the information, threatens the international conference to support Lebanon in the event of that the government does not form in the fastest time.
The government stalemate, which is becoming increasingly captive to international and regional equations with the approaching maturity of the US elections and monitoring the implications of cutting the bar on border demarcation with Israel through US mediation. A weak point has entered his line, which has not yet crystallized. With the election of a government of specialists that is vaccinated with politicians or representatives of the political forces, and appoints them exclusively.
Here, a fundamental problem arises related to the extent to which international financial support is provided to a government that includes representatives of or close to Hezbollah in the case of a techno-political government, and in light of a clearly announced decision by Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah of ” inevitably participate in any future government. ”
And if President Najib Mikati took the initiative to present the aforementioned proposal, however, the concept of “politicizing” the government is essentially an initial proposal for the Shiite duo that the Presidency of the Republic meets in fear of a “government entity” completely out of control with the presence of a staff that acts as a “machine” and not as a reformist political mentality. It is supposed to be the title of the stage. From this point on, the Plan B negotiations will begin on the initiative, and that is what the French have become.
Insiders affirm in this context that “the initiative’s management mechanism will change, as will some conditions that were previously imposed and that were not among the requirements of France.” This in itself will expand the range of options. However, this does not mean that Mikati, the author of the proposal, can be seriously marketed as head of government, because the internal veto is effective! ”.
In recent days, President Mikati noticed increased activity in the reactivation of the previous communication circles that served as keys to the President of the Republic, Gebran Bassil, Hezbollah and President Nabih Berri. This comes at a time when Hariri distanced himself from the circle of adopting more heads of government. There is a recent confusion in Hariri’s ears: “You must immediately stop playing the role of ‘midwife’ of the heads of government, as this has negative effects on your image and your political balance!
Those familiar with the background of the Sunni accounts admit that Hariri has adopted the Mikati option. They ask: “He left Nawaf Salam, and it did not occur to him to propose the name of Tammam Salam, who completely refuses to cooperate with President Aoun, and left Fouad Siniora on the shelf for a long time. If your address was the Grand Serail? They comment: “Mikati is not an option for Hariri.”
Furthermore, Mustafa Adib’s experience has further undermined trust among members of the Heads of Government Club. After my arrival, before Adib’s apology, messages to this effect were sent to the designated head of the Mikati vicinity, warning him of the consequences of the complete submission to Hariri so that he would not miss the opportunity to become the head of the Government. of Salvation.
Here, many compare Adib’s “remote” management of “Hariri” to what he did with former Prime Minister Samir al-Khatib, who withdrew from the race in December 2019 despite Hariri’s formal coverage of him. The head of the Future Movement, in his opinion, prefers to adopt someone who will re-form a crossing bridge for him to the Serail, not someone who crosses the road back, and my timing is a possibility for those who cross the street.
Regarding Baabda and Hezbollah, the opinion is shared: “I do not trust my time nor am I satisfied with their political decisions. And at the center of Hezbollah is what it describes as a “conspirator” and “the most volatile politician.”
In this context, circles close to Hezbollah refer to the “message sent by former presidents Amin Gemayel, Michel Suleiman, Najeeb Mikati, Fouad Siniora and Tamam Salam to the Arab summit in Amman in 2017, which aroused much discontent from the party that day. , and its effects are still present today, and it is considered a Black signal in his record, which does not “serve” him on the street either. At the top of the list are subsidized bank loans that are not a legal violation, but it is definitely an unethical step!
In the narrow scenarios, there is talk of the possibility of Hariri’s return, linked to amendments, which will enter into the French initiative, which the latter recognized as “ his only reference as a last opportunity to stop the collapse ”, in parallel to the announcement of that he would not run for prime minister.
According to the information, Mikati’s election is immature, and the internal veto is greater than the external one, at a time when the president of the republic, as well as the Shiite duo, are studying the possibility of talking about a government that the parties politicians negotiate with competent faces headed by Hariri or a name outside the club of prime ministers and benefit from “lessons.” In my experience Hassan Adeeb and Mustafa Adib. And it seems that looking for a name outside of the “club of four” is still the most difficult, unless Hariri decides otherwise.
As for President Aoun’s reluctance to convene intentional consultations to appoint a new prime minister, this time he will not appear to be facing a counter-campaign in light of the joint talk “about the need to reach an understanding that protects authorship after the assignment”.
However, in the Republican Palace there is currently a kind of alert for the Crown epidemic that affected a series of daily contacts with President Aoun, which led to more strict precautions, while it was confirmed, despite the rumors that neither the president nor his wife were infected by the virus. Therefore, no meeting, such as holding consultations or routine appointments, is not available at this time, except for the duty of the three presidents to go to Kuwait on Monday to offer the duty of condolences to the late Emir of Kuwait.
