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Wrote Alan Sarkis in the Nidaa Al Watan newspaper:
It seems that French President Emmanuel Macron made a firm and decisive decision not to leave Lebanon as the scene of regional and international conflicts and to push it into the unknown, even if the effort to form a new government failed.
The Frenchman works on the Lebanese file from a point of view of principles, because the Elysee does not face the Lebanese crisis as if it were temporary, if we succeed we will be happy and if we fail we set our goals and leave, and that is why the insistence of Macron is not related to the formation of the government, but to the diligent monitoring of the situation that occurs.
From the Elysee’s point of view, the relations between Lebanon and France are not temporary, and they do not deal with the country from the moment they enter the political class, but rather act as if this class does not want the good for the country, and what What matters to Paris is the people and their culture spread across the Mediterranean, which explains the sending of Chancellor Jean-Yves Le Drian to Beirut, before the port explosion on August 4, to provide support to schools that teach the French language.
In context, Macron relies on his steps in a clear American support within a specific plan, and therefore his steps are coordinated with the Americans and that is his strength, while there are points that he recorded in the recent period behind the record Lebanese and does not want to lose them, among which stands out:
First: Macron won the love of the Lebanese people, and this was evident in his embrace on Gemmayze Street during his first visit after the explosion, and people looked at him as if he were the savior of this corrupt political class, and he earned a place in the hearts of the Lebanese that the presidents who preceded him, such as François Hollande and Nicolas Sarkozy, did not win. Even Jacques Chirac.
Second: Macron has largely succeeded in exposing Lebanese politicians and was able to speak to everyone, indicating acceptance of Paris by all parties.
Third: Macron’s image in Beirut was reflected in his image within the French public opinion, which was very sympathetic to Lebanon, and his success means success within France, while his failure is not reflected as some described it in Paris, because the French know the sterility of the Lebanese political class.
Fourth: Macron succeeded in hijacking a European and international mandate for his movement in Lebanon, and began acting on behalf of the “old continent” after European leaders saw his departure from Lebanon as a great loss for them on the shores of the Mediterranean. .
Most important of all, Macron has established the influence of France in Beirut, and the matter must follow an operation on the ground, as he stands as an impregnable prey in the face of the Turkish expansion and confronts it and deals with the herders of the Sunnis in Lebanon, especially Egypt and Saudi Arabia on this basis, at a time when President Saad Hariri coordinates with Macron. To complete the topic.
What applies to Turkey also applies to Iran, as the French, who deal with the Shiite component in an objective and rational manner, also do not like it when Lebanon falls under Iranian control and steps out of its culture, civilization and roots, so the French will not face US sanctions if Tehran continues to obstruct the rescue process. In Lebanon.
Faced with all these facts, the failure in the formation of the government will negatively affect the Franco-Iranian relations, but this issue will increase the adherence of Paris to the salvation of Lebanon from the influence of Tehran because then the French president will say “I have tried and I give testimony that I have succeeded. ” Therefore, the French attempts will be repeated and when the American enters directly into the line, the role of the French, who installed what he established in Lebanon, especially in politics, culture, port and gas exploration will be preserved. .
So Lebanon is waiting for a very hot period, but what drives more calm is that the French will not leave the country and repeat their attempts, but this time without diplomacy because it gave politicians the last chance and some disappointed it.
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