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Munir Al-Rabee Books In “Al-Modon”: The French initiative has not yet fallen. But your time is not open. Lebanese political forces have been given a new consultation period to reach a consensus.
Aoun and her formal rejection
The President of the Republic hastened to hold meetings with representatives of parliamentary blocs to discuss the formation process. In this way, it captures some threads again, even if only formally, through its participation in negotiations, consultations and presentation of names and suggestions..
This, after he refused to sign a group without his consultation and participation, and was not informed of the content, form and form of the government. Aoun rejoined a government of twenty ministers, instead of 14, and entered the line of negotiating names with the designated president..
The President of the Republic and the head of the Aounist movement will have no capacity to disrupt and re-impose new conditions. They care about preserving the face.
Security and sanctions
Mustafa Adeeb was asked to consult with the various political forces, namely Aoun, the Shiite duo and Gebran Bassil. Shortly after Adeeb left the Baabda meeting, preparations for such meetings and consultations began..
Everyone seeks to save face and make even small modifications to what comes from outside, to satisfy themselves with the impression that it has changed, modified and altered. Lebanese politicians indulge in drowning in formal concerns, while the problem extends beyond the government and beyond, and puts Lebanon in the thick of things, from security to harsh sanctions affecting political events..
Berri is personally threatened with sanctions.
The Shiite duo, on the other hand, insist that the Finance Ministry “consecrate the pact,” according to Berri. But there is an external, especially American insistence that the two sides not get this ministry, after imposing sanctions on Minister Ali Hassan Khalil and accusing him of providing financial services to Hezbollah..
The Americans want to change all the rules of the game, using more than the stick of sanctions in exchange for the adherence of the Shiite duo to the Ministry of Finance. And there are those who believed that the matter had nothing to do with the pact, similar to the response of Prime Minister Saad Hariri through his sources, who renounced the letter to protect the country. Others must abandon it.
Such an answer leads some to consider that terrain climbing has a different background. You will not exchange finances with any other ministry. Rather, its goal is to avoid further US sanctions that threaten it. It started with Ali Hassan Khalil, and can reach him personally, members of his family or close to him..
So Berri resorted to this escalating position, saying: I am not the one who ends his life like this, and I am not looking for my political future..
Jumblatt media with Berri
As for Walid Jumblatt, he lands in the French capital. According to the information, he will hold meetings with French officials, although he assured that he is seeking relief after being “disgusted” by the Lebanese reality..
But circumstances call for meetings. Jumblatt will present his vision and vision. And it is known to him that he does not renounce the rendering of any service to a righteous prophet. Jumblatt will have clear positions: politics in Lebanon cannot be managed like this, because it carries great risks. You reach the limit of safety tensions. The French initiative cannot succeed in this way, while Macron used to say that the aim of the initiative is not to let Lebanon fall into a civil war..
A race between compatibility and threat
Articulated hours lived by Lebanon. Either the French initiative continues and reaches its goal, or the country faces very complex scenarios, in light of the sanctions that will come against personalities of different sects and affiliations. It paves the way for Lebanon to be used as a stage for settling political scores, through security methods, as is customary and as previously reported by the Lebanese. Any security operation will once again change the priorities in the country, and the interest in the security file will come first, instead of the governmental and economic ones..
The French initiative faces its last chance: Either it triumphs in the next few days on the basis of consensus, or it succeeds by presenting an alignment and approving it without the consent of the Shiite duo, which generates more pressure and difficulties. They fight against the alignment of the government, a popular confrontation that will abort it.
Then it is necessary to look at the essence of things, and after the bombing of the port. There are many security leaks about the situation in the country and in public and basic facilities that raise suspicions and suspicions (such as the airport). Therefore, we will be in a cycle of anxiety, fear and the multidirectional implications of the general situation in many areas, security, political and economic, and in the price of the dollar. All this exposes the country to further collapse.
