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Sudan is in dire straits after this year’s rains and flooding rates broke all records, resulting in the death of dozens and the collapse of thousands of homes.
According to official data in Sudan, this year’s flood and rainfall rates exceeded the records set during the two years (1988-1946).
The level of the Blue Nile recently rose to 17.57 meters (57 feet), a “historic level since the river was monitored in 1902,” according to the Ministry of Water and Irrigation.
In a statement on Twitter, the Interior Ministry considered Sudan a “natural disaster area”, after the damage caused dozens of deaths and injuries, more than half a million people were affected and the total and partial collapse of dozens of homes.
Due to the rain and flood rates for 2020 AD … the declaration of a state of emergency for a period of 3 months and the formation of a supreme committee to prevent and address the effects of autumn.
May God protect the country and its people pic.twitter.com/GpH7kqg8rg– Ministry of the Interior of Sudan (@ SMOI_2020) September 5, 2020
While President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi and the Egyptian Foreign Ministry expressed their solidarity with the neighboring country and coordinated relief efforts with him due to the floods that hit the country, some called for the doors to be opened. High Dam in an attempt to reduce the damage.
The government must pay for airstrikes on the high dam if the Egyptian government does not act to open the dam doors.
Good sufficiency and courtesies from previous governments wasted old allies due to kindness and by allowing the Egyptian government to build the Great Dam inside outside the surveyed country.– IBRAHIM YAHIA 🇸🇩🇸🇪 (@IbrahimYahiaBMW) September 6, 2020
They say, and the pact is in the narrator, Egypt closed the Great Dam to annoy the Sudanese, for being with Ethiopia, and God knows better.
– Wahbi (@ uJSStULVxWuVu7N) September 6, 2020
This is a message that we must support the Renaissance dam to avoid future floods or the best solution, of course, to make a huge dam in Sudan. We can control the water coming into Sudan now. Ethiopians can wipe Sudan off the map if the dam’s gates are opened after filling. right now
– Roony (@rawanemad) September 7, 2020
Could Egypt save Sudan by opening the gates of the Great Dam?
Hani Raslan, former head of Sudan and the Nile Basin Unit at the Al-Ahram Center for Political and Strategic Studies, told the Al-Hurra website: “The demand to open the doors of the Great Dam is contrary to the reason and logic, and claimed that Egypt was able to save Sudan through this is simply misleading. “
The following drawing indicates that the maximum height of the High Dam is 200 meters above sea level, while the Sudanese capital, Khartoum, is 380 meters above sea level.
Raslan explains that, “even if the doors of the High Dam are closed, the water will not return to the back and will go south, because the ground of the earth runs at a height and the water cannot go from low to high without levers. “
He continued: “In the event that the doors of the high dam are closed (for the argument), the water will pass over the body of the dam and may threaten to collapse.”
Is Egypt Near Danger?
Some fear that another exceptional flood, more serious than the current one, will reach Egypt.
But Raslan denies any danger that threatens Egypt due to the floods, since Lake Nasser, in which the water accumulates behind the high dam, absorbs the high floods, and in case it is full, a spillway opens. behind the dam to drain excess water, and this was already done last year, and 13 billion were discharged. Cubic meter through the spillway.
Part of the statement of the Minister of Irrigation on the relationship of the floods with the Renaissance dam and the high dam # Sudan_signed_peace Challenges of the transition period pic.twitter.com/vE4cyJ7PMj
– Rania (@rania_mmo) September 1, 2020
In addition, it is possible to open all the floodgates of the High Dam and the bridges that follow to wash the course of the river, as happened last year until the water reached parts of the Al-Salam Canal in Sinai (northeast of the country).
In an emergency, limited quantities may be allowed to be discharged in the Mediterranean, but Egypt generally does not allow the water to pass into the sea unless it is reused more than once, according to Raslan.
What is the role of the Renaissance dam?
Floods are a natural phenomenon linked to climatic factors, which can be difficult to predict.
And Sudan, Egypt, and East African countries have witnessed rare, moderate, weak, and rare floods.
And during the stalled negotiations for Ethiopia’s Renaissance Dam, some Sudanese official sources said that the construction of the Renaissance Dam will work to end Sudan’s suffering from the flooding, which is what the dam has not done so far despite the Ethiopia’s official announcement about the start of its operation.
But the dam takes at least five more years to reach its final height (145 meters), which will allow it to fully retain the water.
An expert on African studies and the Nile Basin, Zaki Al-Beheiri, confirmed to Al-Hurra that the Ethiopian Renaissance Dam did not prevent the floods that hit Sudan recently, questioning the dam’s ability to cope with future floods.
Al-Buhairi warned that major floods in the future could bring down the dam itself, and said Ethiopia did not mention some problems in the structure of the Renaissance dam.
The Renaissance dam, which is being built about 15 km from Ethiopia’s border with Sudan, has become a major source of controversy between the three countries.
Egypt fears that the project, which costs four billion dollars, will cause a lack of water flow and affect its participation in the waters of the Nile, while Sudan is concerned about the safety of the dam.
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