Nasrallah Warns … “Only The Ultimate Source Of Livelihood” – Lebanese Forces Official Website

The situation does not seem comfortable for Hezbollah. And the return of the party’s Secretary General, Hassan Nasrallah, last Wednesday night, to the old and renewed attempts to revive the tone of normalization with the Syrian regime, and evade the demand of the Lebanese and international community, especially the Fund. International Monetary, to control the Lebanese-Syrian borders and stop the smuggling that causes billions of dollars in annual losses to the treasury. The Lebanese, essentially half-empty, were surprised, if not censored, by political and popular circles alike.

At first glance, many may be confused, as the authority, whose decision is made by Hezbollah, is asking for help from the IMF to get out of the crisis and financial and economic collapse. And everyone notices the power, the government and the government, to submit to the conditions of one fund after another, the most prominent of which is controlling borders, stopping smuggling and customs evasion. So does Hezbollah fall into the contradiction between its acceptance of turning to the IMF and putting up obstacles and conditions to control the borders? Or that in their recent positions, background, secrets and messages with different content?

A member of the Political Bureau of the Future Movement, former deputy Mustafa Alloush, considers, on the Lebanese Forces website, that “to understand the nature of Hezbollah’s recent positions, we must take into account what is happening in Iran, in the old way of saying: if you want to know what is happening in Italy, you have to know what is happening in Brazil. “

He explains that “in recent days, the ground has started in Iran to go to a deal. Initially, there was acceptance and tireless efforts to reach a deal with the IMF and seek help to deal with the Coronavirus. And Iranian President Hassan Rouhani He went back and appealed a few days ago to the fund to approve the $ 5 billion loan application, which was submitted by the Iranian Central Bank last month. This position has taken part in the debate and controversy among Lebanese circles, because Why is what is allowed for Iran to request IMF assistance prohibited in Lebanon?

He then added: “So the conversation started on what the guide Ali Khamenei said in a tweet on Twitter, about the reconciliation that occurred between Caliph Muawiya bin Abi Sufyan and Imam Al-Hassan. Finally, the Iranian offer came from the exchange of prisoners between Tehran and the United States, in addition to the case of Amer Fakhoury, who was part of all this combination. Consequently, if we are going to read Hezbollah’s actions, there is no behavior that the party will take regardless of Iranian options. “

Alloush points out that “what we see is mobility in this context, and they are not yet sowing ashes in El Aaiún and negotiations with the IMF are beginning, but the waiting period is also overlooked. In other words, wait and give an opportunity for negotiations to begin, if there are signs of any kind of negotiations between Iran and the United States. And also give an opportunity at the local level, so that people do not rely on the authority that until now has not been able to make any changes. “

He notes that “today’s question is related to Nasrallah’s fangs smile yesterday,” considering that “the reason is that the ultimate source of livelihood with Hezbollah now, after going to extremists at the airport and ports, and stopping its activities and prosecution in Germany, in addition to the issue of renewed sanctions and the tightening of the siege on banks, and the shortage of money from Iran and others, the latest source of income is smuggling.

And he states: “Smuggling operations are not only to help the regime in Syria, as there are also differences in the exchange rates and profits that all reach Hezbollah. And the figures are definitely tens of millions of dollars in relation to the volume of contraband, especially in the recent continuous period of flour and diesel, in addition to other goods.

Alloush believes that “Nasrallah said yesterday: Do anything but close this subsistence door, because in this case I have to face it. Or, his words may be exaggerations to go to the settlements. But the question here is, if Nasrallah really wants for the Lebanese government to reach an agreement with the Syrian government, what is being lost? This is your government, who will oppose it? Go and make the understandings you want and this may be the right time, because if the situation change, any other government may disagree. For Nasrallah to issue orders to the prime minister and the foreign minister to negotiate with the Syrian government and establish certain agreements. “

And he considers that “this has not yet happened because, in fact, Nasrallah does not want to do anything, because he takes advantage of the current state that is appropriate for him, while keeping the slogans raised to ashes.” And if you can improve the conditions and collect the documents during the current waiting period for the next stage, then of course this is for you too.

Regarding the next stage, Alloush emphasizes that “the most important event is what is happening in Syria.” He considers that “it is reasonable to conclude that there is a kind of Russian-American-Turkish-Israeli conspiracy to expel Iran militarily from Syria, and certainly also to expel Iranian political hegemony.”

He adds that “Syrian President Bashar al-Assad plays on both ropes on this issue to improve his conditions and maintain his position in his current state without compromising it.” While Russia wants to control Syria in a way that ensures its stability, since Moscow cannot pull back most of the resident and displaced Syrian citizens. Russia also wants to give Turkey some kind of benefit, in order to ensure that there are no risks in the medium and long-term future.

Alloush fears that “the fate of Lebanon is related to what will happen in Syria in the coming months.” In the event that Iran is somehow expelled from Syria and Hezbollah decides to go to the settlements, we must wait to see what the conditions are. But most likely, Hezbollah will not accept the settlements that will suffocate it and face it, which means a devastating war against Lebanon.