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Raquel is old
The Russian ambassador to Lebanon, Alexander Rudakov, confirmed yesterday that “if the Lebanese do not cooperate with each other, then any foreign intervention whose role will be useful in solving the Lebanese crisis will not be useful.” There is a meaning to this statement that was confirmed by His Holiness Pope Francis, and the Qatari Foreign Minister said it during his visit to Lebanon, and was confirmed in turn by the delegate of the Arab League. This is what French President Emmanuel Macron knows, and with it he brought political leaders together at a table last September, where they pledged to implement the French initiative.
The dinner that reunited Macron with the prime minister appointing the formation of the government, Saad Hariri, produced no way out to form the government, and no government progress was achieved despite the resumption of the authorship meetings between Aoun and Hariri. , in a surprise meeting yesterday, after these meetings had ceased since December 23, 2020 and were cut off, their contact has been at least since January 11, when Aoun Hariri was accused of lying. Hariri did not bring anything new, according to the Presidency of the Republic, while the designated president confirmed that his position is constant and clear, and that it is a government of 18 ministers, all specialists, and no one is suspended. in him, and that this will not change for him. In turn, the President of the Republic adheres to his rejection of the ministerial formation previously presented by Hariri, clinging to the association in the composition and balance in the government and that it does not carry the disadvantage of any sect, in addition to the need adopt the same criteria, especially in terms of appointment of ministers.
The “third obstruction node” remains the mother of the contract, according to Hariri’s team, and as announced by the Speaker of Parliament, Nabih Berri. What these parties call the “obstructing third party”, Aoun considers a constitutional right in the association, the nomenclature and the need to ensure balance, denying that this third party has demanded or demanded. In fact, some are the ones who perform calculations that lead to Aoun if he gets a part. He got the third.
Despite many initiatives and internal and external mediations, all these movements are taking place in the orbit of the internationally blessed French initiative, above all because it is clear, according to political bodies and diplomatic sources, that the composition, although internal, but The future government must satisfy the outside, so it is agreed with Iran, so as not to obstruct, and to obtain the consent of the French and the Americans, in order to be able to obtain the help of the international community if the necessary reforms are made. approved.
Informed sources believe that the Qataris may have been asked to support this file, and they may have wanted to inquire in preparation for a meeting or some step, but the visit of the Qatari Foreign Minister was an inquiry and did not enter in a mediation line. These sources confirm that the visit to the country is the beginning of the beginnings in the authorship file, so we will witness visits, disclosure and other contacts at the Lebanese level, and the situation will not continue as it is. He considers the United Arab Emirates and Egypt to be “the best link between Lebanon and Saudi Arabia, but the Egyptians and the Emiratis may need a French boost in this regard.” Also, what is required on the other hand may be to move to devise a solution or make it a success ”.
At the same time, the initiative of the President of Parliament, Nabih Berri, known to the French and all the Lebanese parties, remains in force. According to sources close to the “Shiite duo”, it is part of the French initiative, and everyone at home and abroad stops. Berri tries to make things easier and not be harsh with anyone, and is in constant contact with the French. These sources clarify that Berri’s initiative does not break anyone or win anyone, rather it is an equation: win-win. It stipulates that no party gets a “third blocker” in government, and that everyone is satisfied with a government of specialists whose ministers are not with anyone and at the same time are not against it.
On the other hand, Aoun considers that there is an injustice in the election of ministers, since all parties appoint their ministers, while Hariri refuses to appoint Aoun the Christian ministers. However, sources close to the “Shiite duo” make it clear that the name is based on the basis that we ask ourselves, for example: “What do you think of this young man?”, So we answer: “Niceh”, that is to say that the Minister is neither with you nor against you. “And she says:” If there was a will to bring disgruntled ministers against the president of the republic, then the “forces” would have been told: “Come”.
Consequently, Berri’s initiative contributes to resolving the complex of the Ministries of Justice and the Interior, including, specifically, the name of the Minister of the Interior, which was agreed to be agreed between the President of the Republic and the designated President, according to The In this way, Aoun and Hariri could match, so 6 names are presented, for example, and they choose One of them, admired and satisfied, takes over the portfolio of the Ministry of the Interior.
Sources confirm that the real authorship problem is internal, and is part of our “weadiyat”, as Berri said. There are those who want to buy time, and there are considerations related to the upcoming presidential and parliamentary elections, given the usual delay in the finalization of constitutional rights in Lebanon, so that the void is resolved for a short period of time, there is an effort to obtain a third block in the government that will govern if one dissolves the vacuum.
Regarding Aoun’s adherence to his constitutional right to participate in the formation of the government, the same sources say: “There is a constitutional right for the president of the republic to form a government in agreement with the designated president, but there is an opinion that it says that the president of the republic does not have the right to appoint several ministers ”. And he adds: “Suppose that the President of Parliament and the designated Prime Minister nominate ministers, since they do so on behalf of their representative blocs, and that the government trusts the House of Representatives and not the President of the Republic. . Consequently, Aoun would take the ministries according to their mass, noting that they did not appoint Hariri in the assignment consultations, and they did not appoint all the Christian ministers. As for the rights of Christians, these sources indicate that “the state was in the hands of the Maronites, specifically the administrations that influenced it, and despite this they did not preserve it.” He also notes that “the Maronites used to have advantages that are not present in the rest of the sects, including education and openness to others”, now advising Maronites to “bring others to their own.”
Despite the government deadlock between Aoun and Hariri, there are concerted internal and external efforts to achieve authorship, and a desire to resolve many issues, whether with the French or the Americans, with each side having its own “pressure and support”, according to informed sources. Consequently, these sources ask: “Can stakeholders in Lebanon break their international friendships and lose the Americans, the French and with them the entire international community, especially since it is not easy to frustrate France and frustrate its President? and what is required is not to break any party, but to be “standards. One and one concession”?
