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The Israeli Institute for National Security Studies released a report on the scenarios of a possible Iranian attack on Israel in retaliation for the assassinations of Iranian scientist Fakhri Zadeh and Qassem Soleimani, sparking a comprehensive war on various fronts in the Middle East.
The Israeli Institute for National Security Studies has released a report on the scenarios of a possible Iranian attack on Israel in retaliation for the assassinations of Iranian scientist Fakhri Zadeh and Qassem Soleimani, sparking an all-out war on various fronts in the Middle East, according to to what the Palestinian media reported.
Total war in the Middle East
The scenario was presented during an institute conference with the participation of Israeli and foreign political and military figures, warning of the possibility of Tel Aviv being attacked by Iran, as Hebrew Channel 12 said the institute believed such a scenario could create . a possible reaction to a conflict that would lead to an all-out war in the Middle East. Includes Syria and Hezbollah.
The newspaper also added that the possible scenario prepared by Tel Aviv under the supervision of military and intelligence leaders represents the term “war game”, which may be the spark of the start of the war, speaking of a scenario that does not actually it happened. .
Starting with an Iraq attack
The possible war scenario that was presented begins at 4:30 pm with the firing of 6 missiles from western Iraq towards Israel, and one of the missiles manages to penetrate the defense system and directly hits a high-rise building in Tel Aviv, killing 6 Israelis and wounding 30 others.
This attack, depending on the scenario, is the first in a series of operations to be carried out against Israeli or American targets and others in the Middle East. Other missiles will be launched at the US embassy in Baghdad, leading to the murder of an American soldier.
Attacks in Dubai
And before these attacks, the stage expected Iran to carry out attacks in Dubai and Bahrain in shopping malls, with gunmen killing Americans and Israelis.
The scenario also indicated that the Houthis would continue to target Saudi Arabia and fire precision missiles, especially at the oil facilities in Jeddah.
The scenario also referred to an Iranian-led cyberwar against Tel Aviv, and in its wake the latter would respond by launching a large-scale attack against Iranian targets in Syria and Iraq, leading to the deaths of Iranian and Hezbollah militants. , and the latter would respond by firing missiles at northern Israel in the first stage.
Israeli attacks on Lebanon
Israel would respond by attacking Hezbollah targets, but this time in Lebanon, including precision missile-related projects in Beirut, leading to the deaths of 30 Lebanese civilians, and Hezbollah responding by expanding the missile strike to reach Tel Aviv, killing 12 Israelis. as reported by the Palestinian media.
The scenario also mentioned that Washington would condemn the Iranian attacks, increase its military presence in the Gulf, and then hold talks with Russia and China about the nature of its response, and then carry out a massive airstrike against Iranian-affiliated armed groups. in Iraq.
According to the report, Moscow believes that it can more easily coordinate with Israel than with Iran, and cannot prevent Iran and Hezbollah from using Syrian lands to attack Israel, and this fuels tensions between Russia and Iran in Syrian territories.
As for Iran, it will act in a controlled manner to prevent an attack on its territory and prevent the erosion of Hezbollah’s missile force, through which it intends to deter Israel from attacking the nuclear infrastructure in Iran.
The Israeli Institute for National Security Studies says the UAE will try to prevent further attacks on its territory and demand that the UN Security Council condemn the attacks and open an international investigation against the perpetrators, while coordinating with Saudi Arabia. and Bahrain to respond. against Houthi targets.
The scenario suggests that the Syrian regime will not engage in the war, except that it will not be able to prevent Hezbollah and Iran from operating on its territory.
Tel Aviv commentary on the script
Commenting on the scenario, former IDF Chief of Staff Gadi Eisenkot said that should such a scenario occur, Israel would respond more harshly than it offered. “It is very difficult to see a situation in which the Israeli response is not decisive enough, when missiles are fired at Tel Aviv with 16 dead, and this is a very dangerous scenario that we did not witness in 2006.”
He also noted that the way Hezbollah is deployed places its missile system, including its precise capabilities, at the heart of the civilian environment, and any attack on the precision missile system will result in extensive collateral damage, and therefore potentially it will turn into a war. .
While former Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni said: “Lebanon is in a very difficult situation, also economically, and the global trend is to try to strengthen Lebanon before it collapses, so international pressure is expected to , especially against Israel, stop such. ” She asked: “Can we create a situation like this when the last chain is with us and not with Hezbollah?”
He added: “The Israelis still want to see a military showdown that ends in a clear victory, like the victory of the Six Day War, but today there is no government that can provide that, not because it does not have the capacity,” but because it is an event of a completely different kind, but the response must be excellent. “”.
Notably, the scene was overseen by a number of senior Israeli generals, the most important of whom was Udi Dekel, who held many positions in the army and in intelligence, Itai Baron, international military cooperation and strategic planning officer at the army. and former commander of the Israeli army, Gadi Eisenkot.
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