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Munir al-Rabee ‘wrote in “Al-Modon”: Israel focuses its interests at this stage on three main interconnected files: the first and the main relate to the process of transfer of power in the United States of America. The second is the continuation of Israeli operations in Syria, targeting Iranian military sites and barracks. And the third is preparing for the elections next March.
Netanyahu’s dilemma
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his most prominent political and personal ally Donald Trump, whose term ended days later, are facing internal political and electoral crises, seeking any opportunity to jump on it and provide opportunities to win the election again. and return as prime minister of Israel. It maintains its distinguished relationship with Russia and will work to strengthen it, in addition to the new Arab alliances it has forged..
This political context prompts Netanyahu to invest the weeks that separate the date of the elections, to enhance his role and assistance, and avoid the political files and corruption files that are raised against him. And their chance to escape is reflected in the strengthening of military and air strikes against Iranian and Hezbollah sites in Syria. And as the Israeli media reveals, the next stage will see an intensification of air strikes at a rate of 3 raids every ten days. This is a significant advance in the size of raids, compared to the previous rate of an attack every two to three weeks..
Elections and reinforcement of raids
And Israeli officials fear a change in American policy. Every member of President-elect Joe Biden’s team was prominent during Barack Obama’s tenure. All of them are excited about reaching an agreement with Iran. This is what will be a great challenge facing Israelis.
Therefore, Israel seeks to strengthen its relations with Russia, and scale its positions and movements to abort any attempt at a US deal with Iran, which does not appear to limit its regional influence and encircle its military presence in Syria, specifically southern Syria. . The Israelis are focusing on cutting off all Iranian supply routes through Iraq to Syria and into Lebanon..
And there is a strong Israeli will: to prevent the transformation of southern Syria into something like southern Lebanon. And cut the military supply lines between Iran and Hezbollah in Lebanon. In this context, the attack on the Syrian-Iraqi borders occurred a few days ago, to complicate any American attempt to conclude an agreement with Tehran..
This goal coincides with another goal Netanyahu is striving to achieve: winning the elections and returning to prime minister. In the last elections, the Israeli prime minister exhausted all political efforts, with Russian and American support, and did not achieve the landslide victory afforded him the opportunity to form a government without a coalition with his opponents..
Currently, there are some Israeli views that Netanyahu’s opportunity to strengthen his internal position requires expanding the margin of Israel’s military movement, or carrying out more raids in Syria against Iranian forces..
So far, the Israelis have avoided direct attacks on Hezbollah, while there are many who are pushing Netanyahu into an adventure that the Israelis feared, lest he backfires..
Crazy days
In Israel, there are two readings on this topic: the first drives the expansion of the area of operations and raids to reach Hezbollah missile sites and warehouses in Lebanon. This stems from the conviction that Hezbollah cannot respond at this transitional stage in American politics. And he prefers not to get involved in a war that Netanyahu is attracting to improve his domestic chances. However, the second sight refuses to participate in the opening of the Lebanese front or in the expansion of the attack area to reach Lebanese territory. This pushes Hezbollah to a strong response that will reflect negatively on Netanyahu..
There is confusion and even Israeli confusion on this issue. And the state of loss produces the highest degree of anticipation and fear. Perhaps this is what Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah recently warned..
According to the information, Hezbollah is on high alert. He knows that Trump has been in chains and has been unable to do anything in the last few days before leaving the White House. However, with Hezbollah, many hardline American views count, especially in the American military. And he’s anticipating every Israeli move that could be surprising to complicate Joe Biden’s mission with Iran. Hezbollah is fully prepared for any eventuality. But on the other hand, he does not want to give Benjamin Netanyahu any opportunity that allows him to carry out a military operation, with the aim of boosting his political and electoral fortune at home..
It is a phase of madness that must be transmitted.
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