[ad_1]
Iran promised to respond to the assassinations of Fakhrizadeh and Soleimani (Mortada Al-Sudani / Anatolia)
Three former Israeli security chiefs suggested that Iran would not retaliate for the assassinations of Quds Force commander Qassem Soleimani and nuclear scientist Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, before US President-elect Joe Biden took office.
On Monday, the Jerusalem Post newspaper quoted the former heads of the Israeli intelligence service “Mossad” Shabtai Shavit and Danny Yatom, and the former head of the Giora Island National Security Council, as saying that Iran will determine the moment when it will avenge the assassination of Soleimani and Fakhrizadeh, and “will wait for the opportunity.” Let him achieve a specific goal. “
According to Shavit, the Iranians will not retaliate as long as they hold negotiations with the Biden administration on the nuclear deal, noting that the Iranians are “cunning and cannot be underestimated,” as he put it.
Regarding the response to Israel, Shavit did not rule out that Iran requested one of its affiliated groups to carry out the mission, recalling that this was what it did when it attacked the Israeli embassy and a Jewish compound in the Argentine capital, Buenos Aires, in 1992 and 1994.
Shavit added that the assassinations of Soleimani in January 2020, and Fakhrizadeh last November, represented “a double blow to Iranian military activities from which they have not recovered.” Noting that the level of Ismail Qaani, the new commander of the “Quds Force”, does not come close to the level of Soleimani, nor his importance and administrative capabilities.
He stressed that the murder of Soleimani and Fakhrizadeh was “undoubtedly logical”, stating that “the level of talent of the person who replaced Soleimani refutes the accusations of those who argue that the murder was not justified.”
Despite his enthusiasm for the assassinations of Soleimani and Fakhrizadeh, Shavit at the same time warned against the excessive use of assassinations, highlighting the need to use assassination only when it concerns a “specific objective that achieves a great interest in getting rid of it. “.
As for Yatom, he considered Soleimani’s assassination “of interesting strategic value”, noting that Soleimani was more than a commander of the “Quds Force, and was more important than the commander of the Revolutionary Guard, in addition to being close to the Leader. Supreme Ali Khamenei “.
According to Yatom, Soleimani’s assassination was “a moral blow and a violation of operational capabilities, as the Quds Force continues to lick his wounds after the assassination,” according to him, indicating that there is a feeling that this formation has not been able to restore the capabilities he had before the murder.
Regarding the attacks against Israel in response to Fakhrizadeh’s assassination, Yatom claimed that the “Quds Force” was unable, even under Soleimani’s leadership, to attack the Israeli rear, noting that “the corps has tried throughout Over the years develop field capabilities that allow it to do so from Syria and the Golan by formations. Shiite. “
In turn, Giora Island hoped that Iran would not undertake any major military action leading to a confrontation, specifically against the United States, in the next two weeks. However, he said Iran feels it must take revenge, “and if the United States does not attack, it will attack Israel or its interests.”
Eiland did not rule out Iran employing the groups working under its wing to attack Israeli and Jewish targets around the world, claiming that these groups have important structures in South America. Noting in this regard that Israeli and Jewish interests on this continent are not adequately secured.
According to Eiland, the chances of Iran retaliating (against Israel) after Biden takes office are the greatest, given that no one can anticipate the behavior of the outgoing US President Donald Trump if US interests are attacked.
Despite mutual threats between the United States and Iran, with the coming anniversary of Soleimani’s assassination, Eiland believes the two sides are not interested in a mutual escalation.
He concluded by saying: “Israel must warn of a cloudy Saturday, when Israeli targets will be hit by guided missiles from Iraq, Iran and Yemen, and the Lebanese Hezbollah could launch ballistic missiles.”
[ad_2]
