Egyptian-Emirati silence: Biden awaits

Cairo | When the “Arab Quartet”, Saudi Arabia, Emirates, Egypt and Bahrain, decided to cut ties with Qatar and impose a comprehensive blockade to force it to make decisions that contradict the policy of the Hamdan regime, the four partners did not expect three years to pass since his decision before splitting into two camps: the first is Saudi. – A Bahraini supports reconciliation and makes concessions that satisfy Doha, which is willing to reconcile with Riyadh exclusively (amid pressure to bring Manama to reconciliation in a way that achieves a financial return and reduces Saudi support for the Bahraini economy in collapse), and the second Egyptian-Emirati Thus, the region is close to reshaping alliances, not only because the reconciliation that Kuwait has negotiated since the era of the late Emir is close to completion, but because the map of alliances of today is linked to accepting what was rejected yesterday. For example, the Qataris entering the mediation line between Turkey, which suffers from difficult economic conditions due to the Corona pandemic, and Saudi Arabia, which can accept a return to coordination with the latter, but with specific controls.

It is true that Riyadh does not want to accommodate members of the Muslim Brotherhood from Doha and Ankara, but it is open to placing restrictions on this refuge, which deepens the gap between Saudi Arabia and its successor Bahrain, and between the Emirates and Egypt, especially since Abdel Fattah Al-Sisi is putting pressure on Mohammed bin Zayed in some way. Unprecedented for putting “strict controls” on the approval of any conciliation procedure. Furthermore, the Turkish base in Doha and relations with Iran and Turkey no longer enjoy Saudi opposition as in the past. Rather, Riyadh believes that Doha is in its best interest to contain Doha in the next American stage, especially amid its complex calculations in the region and its suspicious view of the Sultanate of Oman and its position on what will happen next. Haitham bin Tariq came to power, and his policies do not really resemble those of his predecessor, Qaboos bin Said, amid economic changes within the Sultanate.

Sisi received a call from Trump asking him not to oppose the reconciliation

On the other hand, there is a Qatari interest in opening the borders and restoring trade with the Kingdom, and these gains will replace the immediate reconciliation with the Emirates, which was stopped by the Emiratis and those behind them, the Egyptians. As for what has changed today, it is the loss of US President Donald Trump, which forces some parties to a “half reconciliation” that satisfies the US administration, whether it is the current one that wants to complete the agreement before leaving, or the next one who wants reconciliation to be one of his foreign policy achievements within his own focus. In the Middle East. Therefore, this reconciliation does not have the official Emirati-Egyptian support, which is indicated in the complete silence towards the positive statements issued by Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait and the United States. This comes in light of Saudi frustration with the results of Abu Dhabi’s announcement of a unilateral withdrawal from the war in Yemen. As for Egypt, he finds no desire to speed up reconciliation, but he won’t mind after Sisi received a call from Trump asking him not to object to or thwart his administration’s latest efforts before leaving after he did so last year. .
While intense discussions are taking place between the Saudis and the Emiratis to ensure that Abu Dhabi comes out with the least damage, in light of the latter’s absence of an integrated perception regarding the required position, the security directives arrived to the Egyptian media, implying that Cairo’s accession to the “Quartet” came earlier after separate Egyptian escalation measures. Currently, the interests do not necessarily coincide, meaning that Egyptians are free to decide whether to resume their relationship with Qatar or to remain in their separate boycott until further notice. In the background, sources assure that the Egyptian and Emirati leaders are waiting for Biden to reach the chair until they facilitate reconciliation, since they do not prefer to conclude a full reconciliation with Doha now, so there are papers that can be discussed with the new administration and resigns through her, noting that they seek to get closer to Biden after the campaign. The media is against you in your media, whether published in Arabic or English, during the elections. In Cairo in particular, “Trump’s favorite dictator” is no longer Biden’s favorite, not even in regional archives, including Palestine, which Sisi seeks to rectify and coordinate with bin Zayed, who also wants the de facto ruler to the Emirates continue without American objections. And in obtaining weapons without “vetoes”.

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