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Netanyahu’s approval of Gantz’s demands will postpone the dissolution of the Knesset (Menachem Kahane / AFP)
Yesterday Wednesday, the Israeli Knesset, by a majority of 61 in the preliminary reading, approved two bills to dissolve the Knesset and go to early elections. Thus, the first bullet was fired against the current government, and the beginning of the electoral battle for the elections, the fourth in two years, if the two bills were approved, with the three necessary readings for the Knesset to be final. .
But yesterday’s vote in the Knesset was a practical achievement, and it may be a maneuver that the leader of the “Kahol Lavan”, General Benny Gantz, was able to resort to to improve the conditions of his tenure in government for the first Israeli Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, before the current date of December 23, which is the deadline. Approve the general budget of the state. And if it is not approved, it will mean the end of the current government’s term and elections will be held within 90 days. A Gantz lawmaker, Eitan Ginsburg, controls the Knesset committee’s agenda, which is tasked with preparing bills for the first reading, and then the second and third. On the other hand, the Knesset dissolution law path provides the parties, specifically Netanyahu and Gantz, the opportunity to agree on another date for the elections, just as it provides them the opportunity to conclude a life-extending deal. of the government.
Netanyahu wants elections to be held in mid-May or June
In any case, the final decision in practice will be in the hands of the prime minister. If Netanyahu accepts the conditions and demands of Bani Gantz, this would delay the dissolution of the Knesset, and consequently delay the date of the next elections. Reaching an agreement on Monday will mean disrupting the approval of the two bills that passed the preliminary reading yesterday, either through the “Kahol Laffan” party in the next readings on their position taken yesterday, and voting against both laws, thus favoring a settlement option on the issue of the state budget, extending the life of the government by two months. Or three, in exchange for the gains that Gantz can achieve and support his position in the electoral battle.
As announced, Netanyahu is not interested in elections in the near future determined by the lack of approval of the state budget, which is 90 days from December 23, that is, the beginning of March. On the other hand, Netanyahu is interested in holding elections in mid-May or next June, in the hope that vaccines against the Corona pandemic have reached Israel, and the process of vaccinating citizens with the vaccine has started, which will help Netanyahu regain some seats, which polls predict. You will lose it if the elections are held soon.
However, it must be remembered that despite yesterday’s Knesset decision, Netanyahu still has other options in his pocket that he can turn to. The first of these is the trend, even before the legal legislation process to dissolve the Knesset, with the three readings, to an agreement with the “Yamina” party led by Naftali Bint, to form a new government, parallel to reaching understandings with representatives of the Islamic Movement of the South, led by Representative Mansour Abbas, who is part of Vehicles of the Joint List of Arab Parties, which have 4 delegates out of 15, that Mansour Abbas and the deputies of the Islamic Movement abstain from voting against of the next government. This will ensure for Netanyahu, according to the current balance of power, the support of 59 deputies for an alternative government, without opposition from 61, should the representatives of the Islamic Movement abstain from voting against the Netanyahu government. This option seems weak, even if it is based on the fact that representatives of the Islamic Movement abstained yesterday from voting with the law to dissolve the Knesset, on the one hand, and on the one hand, due to statements by Representative Mansour Abbas, in those that did not deny the possibility of cooperating with Netanyahu in exchange for “serving the interests of the Arab community”, and vindicates. We are not in anyone’s pocket, neither on the right nor the left.
The other option is to comply with Benny Gantz’s conditions regarding the approval of the state budget, and wait for an appropriate date to dissolve the current government, before the implementation date of the rotation agreement with Benny Gantz, and after this it will agree with the “right-wing” party led by Naftali Bennett, and the “Shas” and “parties.” United Torah Judaism, “the Haredi people in the form of the next government coalition, given that public opinion polls give Netanyahu the ability to form a government coalition with these parties, depends on the support of at least 65 members of the Knesset of the 120 members of the Israeli Knesset “.
Netanyahu may accuse Gantz of dragging Israel into fourth election
According to observers, since his return to the post of prime minister in 2009, Netanyahu has headed for new elections only after having agreed in advance with the haredi and right-wing parties on the formation of the next government. This explained at the time why Tzipi Livni failed in the 2009 elections to form a government under his leadership, despite the fact that his “Kadima” party exceeded the number of seats won by the “Likud” party, and was given the mandate of form a government. But the ultra-Orthodox parties Shas and United Torah Judaism refused to join the government led by it, and it was clear that they had reached a preliminary agreement with Netanyahu. This was repeated in the 2014 general elections, when Netanyahu dismantled his government, which was in association with the Yesh Atid parties led by Yair Lapid and El Hogar Judío, led by Naftali, indicated the direction for new elections.
Today, despite yesterday’s decision by the Knesset, Netanyahu appears to be betting on extending the government’s mandate by two or three months, while accusing Benny Gantz, his partner in government, of responsibility for dragging Israel into the fourth. elections, despite the Corona pandemic, to reach Favorite Date, which is next May or June. Regarding the failure of attempts to reach an agreement with Benny Gantz, Netanyahu will not hesitate, in the event that the Knesset is automatically dissolved on December 23, in not approving a state budget, in launching a new electoral battle in the denouncing their racist incitement against the Arabs, on the one hand, and against “The Center and the Left” on the other hand, a boom that Israel has never witnessed before, which heralds a fierce electoral battle that will be accompanied by all manifestations of violence political and racial incitement against the Arabs, in addition to delegitimizing the Israeli left parties, using the normalization agreements with the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Sudan in the electoral battle to consolidate. “His stay in power.
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