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Over the past three months, the pace of negotiations leading to a ceasefire and the end of successive crises has accelerated following the breach of the “Skhirat Agreement” and the ensuing furious war between retired Major General Khalifa Haftar and the government of “National Accord” and its Presidential Council led by Faiq al-Sarraj, and each of them won On external support: Egyptians – Gulf countries for Haftar and Turkey – Qatar for their opponents, so that the war will continue for about a year and a half, and hundreds of people die, many of whom are paid mercenaries whose numbers have increased in an unprecedented way.
What Williams did not realize is that the recent failure of the political dialogue sessions in Tunisia is due to the roots of the crisis, which have not been addressed and which are linked to the greed for wealth and control of power. Proof of this is that the price of the vote of the representatives in the dialogue sessions, which supposedly would approve the candidates for the presidential and government councils, reached close to a million dollars in exchange for voting for certain personalities who seek power which is supposed to be transitory. To this day, the United Nations has not realized the nature of Libyan society based on tribalism and tribalism, as well as the fundamental disagreement in the distribution of wealth, especially oil, which hinders any compromise formula. due to the conflict of interest and the presence of parties willing to spend millions of dollars to govern to protect them and scale their allies in positions. Most glaring in this case is the current disagreement over oil revenues and what the Libyan Central Bank has spent in recent years, all of which are thorny files of corruption that will affect a wide range of officials from 2012 to today.
The UN’s vision to end the crisis with the 2021 elections may not be viable
Externally, the image is no different; Since each of the capitals related to the Libyan dossier is moving in a different direction. Egypt, for example, wants to obtain decisions from the Libyan Parliament (as the only elected party) in its interest. To this end, the Presidency of the Egyptian Parliament summoned the Libyan Parliament convened in Tobruk headed by Agila Saleh, to hold an extraordinary session in Cairo, after a similar session held in Morocco, in measures aimed at unifying the parliament with its two parties in Tripoli and Tobruk. On the other hand, Turkish movements continue to take place, either by sending weapons and mercenaries to Misrata, or by pressuring Al-Wefaq not to make concessions regarding the agreements signed with Ankara in recent years, especially the reconstruction and demarcation of the borders. maritime, which contradicts the initial agreements between Fiestas, on top of which is the preparation to evacuate the mercenaries completely.
However, the contradictions have not reached the point of returning to the military confrontations, which seem to be frozen pending the containment of popular anger through the collection of rents that can first improve the conditions of citizens, and then complete the confrontations. military or move towards negotiating solutions, which reflects part of the paperwork settlement process. The ongoing secret, and one that appears to be one of the headlines, is the quest to hand over the country’s next military leadership to Khalifa Haftar’s son, Saddam. Although he is not very satisfied with Saddam Haftar, especially after hints about his involvement in the murder of a lawyer who criticized him and his father days before his murder in Benghazi, the son appears at more than one military site, inspecting the forces, in light of the constant conversations about his father’s suffering from multiple diseases, which prepares to preside over the military institution after its unification, a process that is now sponsored by the United Nations, in which he did not advance much due to the problem situation of the mercenaries, and the refusal of Haftar’s father to integrate the forces of the two sides.
Thus, the UN, which sees the end of the Libyan crisis with the elections of December 24, 2021 (after six years of “Skhirat”) will not be applicable, especially since the dialogue faces a difficult process of consensus on the personalities of the Presidential Council and the Prime Minister, although it is an initial step in a broader agreement. And more comprehensively, it must be ensured that it is fully preserved, and that the losers because of it must not rebel against it so that the reconstruction of the state political system does not fail, as it failed after “Skhirat.”
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