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If the Seoul mayor’s by-election is held in a bilateral confrontation, a poll result showed that no matter which of the opposition candidates Oh Se-hoon and Ahn Cheol-soo, National Party candidates, will win almost 20 percentage points over Park. Democratic Party candidates and Young-Seon.
STI, a specialized public opinion poll, announced on the 14th the results of a survey of 1,000 people aged 18 and over who resided in Seoul for two days from 12 to 13.
In the showdown between Oh Se-hoon and Park Young-seon, candidate Oh Se-hoon received 51.8% support and Park Young-seon received 33.1% support. That is a difference of 18.7 percentage points.
In the confrontation between Ahn Chul-soo and Park Young-seon, 53.7% of Ahn and 32.3% of Park were different. That is a difference of 21.4 percentage points.
The wave of voice from the death of former Attorney General Yoon Seok-yeol to politics and the spread of suspicions of real estate speculation by employees of the Korea Land and Housing Corporation (LH) is interpreted as leading to the election of the mayor of Seoul. it fluctuated a lot.
When asked about the impact of the recent excommunication of LH on the Seoul mayor’s election, 75.4% answered that it will have an effect (very impact 44.3%, to some extent 31.3%). 22.4% of those surveyed said it had no effect (17.8% would have no effect, 4.6% would have no effect).
Lee Jun-ho, Executive Director of STEE, said: “The movement of votes from non-partisan voters is accelerating. The LH event is interpreted as a deciding factor. “The accumulated complaints of the voters by the injustice and the infractions are directed towards the anger against the passports in the electoral phase.” Furthermore, he predicted, “it is not yet clear what effect the large gap between opposition candidates will affect,” he said.
In the candidate favorability poll, candidate Oh Se-hoon (52.6%), Ahn Cheol-soo (51.4%) and Park Young-seon (35.1%) were in order. In terms of unfavorable candidates, Park Young-sun (59.6%), Ahn Cheol-soo (45.1%) and Oh Se-hoon (42.8%) were in order.
In the case where former attorney general Yoon Seok-yeol founded a new party in the third zone, a survey was also conducted on the level of support of each party. The new party in the third zone obtained an approval rating of 28.0%, beating existing political parties such as the Democratic Party (21.8%) and the Popular Power (18.3%). The current composition is supported by 36.8% of the popular force, 30.7% of the Democratic Party and 5.9% of the Popular Party.
In this survey, at the 95% confidence level, the sampling error is ± 3.1% points. Details can be found on the website of the Central Election Commission.
Reporter Lee Hae-jun [email protected]
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