US Consumer Prices Fall Below Expectations, Indicating Inflation Control, Bloomberg



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In February, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) grew below market expectations for its core index, which excludes volatile food and energy. The costs of used cars, clothing and transportation services fell month by month. It was suggested that general inflationary pressures remained under control.

Main point
  • Core CPI rose 0.1% month-on-month
    • Median Economists Forecast for Bloomberg Survey Increases 0.2%
    • January remains unchanged from the previous month.
    • 1.3% increase compared to the same month of the previous year
  • The general CPI increases 0.4% month-on-month in line with market expectations
    • 1.7% increase compared to the same month of the previous year

Silenced price pressures

US core inflation increased 0.1% less than expected in February

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics


Inflation is expected to accelerate in the coming months, although the core index figures were lower than expected. The background is vaccination efforts leading to additional economic measures, increased income and resumption of business activities.

Prices of goods, excluding food and energy, fell 0.2% month-on-month, the lowest level since May last year. It increased by 1.3% compared to the same month of the previous year.

Clothing decreased 0.7% month-on-month. Used car prices have fallen 0.9% for the third month in a row and prescription drugs have fallen dramatically since July 2018.

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