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The period of the state of emergency due to the spread of the new coronavirus infection is 31 days and the remaining week is reached. The number of people infected per day in Kanagawa prefecture has dropped considerably since before the declaration, but the number of people infected per day is still close to 400. The rate of use of “immediate response beds” that can be use immediately is in the range of 80%, which is narrow. It is a difficult situation if the declaration can be canceled as planned. (Shota Shimura)
In November last year, when the number of infected people began to rise again, the prefecture issued a “medical alert” asking the prefectural hospitals to secure more beds, and since December 7, the prefecture began serving restaurants. in Yokohama and Kawasaki. . Original business requested to save time. However, as expected, the number of beds did not increase, the number of infected people did not stop, and in response to the state of emergency, the prefecture expanded the scope of short-term business applications throughout the prefecture.
The effect appears to be prospective, for example, the incubation period of the virus is two weeks. The number of infected people per day dropped to the level of 300 on the 25th. Governor Yuji Kuroiwa states that “the effect of the declaration has come to light.” At the beginning of the declaratory period, it was announced that the bed would be full on January 27, but it was removed. The governor said in a regular press conference on the 26th: “I am relieved that the prediction is wrong.”
However, of the seven indicators of infection status, five remain at “stage 4” (explosive spread of infection). The guideline for canceling the declaration is equivalent to “Stage 3” (rapid increase in infection), and the national advisory council noted that “if you cannot confirm that you are heading towards stage 2 (gradual increase in infection), you should not cancel it. “It has been done.
The standard of “3” in the prefecture is fewer than 330 infected people per day and fewer than 778 hospitalized patients (including 95 seriously ill). “2” is less than 197 people and less than 31 people (38 people, respectively), and there is a long way to go. On the 29th, the governor said: “The number of newly infected people has drastically decreased, but it is not enough. I would like to see the situation a little more.”
According to the prefecture, infected people often get worse a week or two after the onset of symptoms and are hospitalized, and the increase or decrease in the number of new infected people is delayed and affects the availability of beds. The number of seriously ill patients has remained at more than 100, the rate of bed use remains high, and the number of people waiting to be hospitalized has not been resolved. On the 26th, the prefecture reduced the number of acceptable “maximum secured beds” from 1,939 beds to 1,555 beds, and there is little room for bed expansion.
It is expected that in early February it will be decided whether the declaration can be lifted or not. The governor said: “If it is extended, business hours may continue.” The Special Measures Law and the Infectious Diseases Law, which are expected to be revised, impose penalties for refusing to work fewer hours or being hospitalized. The governor said, “I strongly ask you (such as the reduction of working hours) so that you do not have to impose sanctions,” and “there was no guarantee of effectiveness until now,” and evaluated the introduction of sanctions. If the statement is extended, it may force more patience.
