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How will relations with China change when the Byden administration is born in the United States? Shoji Rokutsuji, an international politician, said: “It is more threatening to China than it is to President Trump. If it is Trump’s style to go to America alone and strike a striking blow at the other side, let’s get a lot of friends involved and make it more effective. That’s because it’s the Biden way. “
Photo = AFP / Press photo of Jiji
Joe Byden, the Democratic candidate, made a statement on the United States economy in Wilmington, Delaware, on November 16, 2020.
Byden as an “anti-Chinese hawk”
There seems to be some observation that the new Byden administration will be weak against China, but this cannot be said to have hit the mark. Byden should avoid being considered “weak for China.”
Looking ahead to the presidential election, Biden is the Xi Jinping referred to as a “villain”, it was to sharpen the confrontation with China. Considering human rights issues in Hong Kong and elsewhere, this was a major reorientation for Byden. This is because Byden has a wide range of connections with Chinese government officials for many years and has been known as a Chinese insider.
The main reason why it changed its image of “anti-Chinese hawk” was that anti-Chinese sentiment was higher than ever in the United States, caused by the Hong Kong problem and the Corona disaster. Also, in the presidential election, Trump said, “If Byden wins, Americans will have to learn Chinese,” and there is a history of enthusiasm for labeling Byden as “fathers.”
The observations mentioned at the beginning can be based on this Trump image strategy. However, regardless of his goodness, it is natural to be sensitive to public opinion as a politician and, rather, Byden cannot maintain his position unless he becomes more of an “anti-Chinese hawk” than Trump.
Trump’s policy towards China that resulted in isolation
However, it appears that Byden is very different from Trump in a way that counters China. So first, let’s review Trump’s confrontation with China.
Trump-style diplomacy is not limited to China, but whoever the other party is suddenly trying to push it at its own pace with a bang. Furthermore, it was also a great feature that it suddenly took action only without rooting. It had a huge effect on the view, but it can be said that the true value of Trump’s diplomacy is making the other side feel scared that they “don’t know what to do.”
However, it is doubtful that this has been effective against China. Even if Trump is credited with tackling issues that until then were almost unquestionable, such as Chinese authorities demanding disclosure of technology to foreign companies seeking to expand into China, the problem is the result. It is because China could not be cornered.
The main reason for this is that Trump, who advocates “America first”, is not interested in increasing allies and has unilaterally demanded reductions in tariffs on American products regardless of the other side, so many countries I bought it in Japan.
It resulted in isolation from the United States, not China, and half the pressure on China. This is symbolized by the fact that Trump’s declaration to withdraw from the World Health Organization (WHO) due to discontent with Corona’s measures only had the effect of increasing China’s influence in the WHO.
Reduce the foothold in China
Compared to these Trumps, Weiden’s method seems to contrast. In short, it is about building a Chinese siege.
Byden has emphasized that “America must lead the world” during the elections, but this suggests a policy of attracting many countries to the group. Meanwhile, Trump has withdrawn from the WHO and the Paris Agreement on Global Warming, deepening international isolation, while Byden has declared that he will return to them. Active participation in international rules and mechanisms seems to prevent them from being led by China.
Therefore, one of the important issues for Byden will be the containment of developing countries, especially poor countries like Africa. China has emphasized relations with developing countries since the Cold War era. The support of developing countries, which constitute the majority of the UN member countries, has become an indispensable foothold for China to behave as a great power.
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